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SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction

SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction for the Conference League on 15 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Conference League · League Stage - 1
SC FreiburgNo recent gamesFK JablonecNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 1-1
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg

Match events

SC FreiburgFK Jablonec
  1. 14'Yellow card: N. TekijaskiTripping
  2. Goal: V. Grifo15'
  3. 28'Goal: A. RusekAssist: J. Slama

HT 1-1

  1. Own goal: D. Pavlovic (og)53'
  2. Substitution: L. HolerOff: I. Matanovic59'
  3. Substitution: C. GunterOff: J. Makengo59'
  4. 63'Yellow card: N. OkekeDiving
  5. Goal: M. EggesteinAssist: L. Kubler65'
  6. 66'Substitution: S. AlioumOff: G. Kuol
  7. 66'Substitution: N. OkekeOff: S. Nebyla
  8. Substitution: C. IrieOff: K. Goto71'
  9. Substitution: M. RosenfelderOff: P. Lienhart71'
  10. Yellow card: P. OsterhageHolding72'
  11. 76'Substitution: R. SedlacekOff: D. Soucek
  12. 76'Substitution: A. RusekOff: D. Holly
  13. 77'Yellow card: D. HollyRoughing
  14. 84'Substitution: M. PolidarOff: J. Chramosta
  15. Substitution: L. KublerOff: P. Treu84'
  16. 90+3'Goal: G. Kuol

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✗

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.53

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · SC Freiburg75%
Fair odds 1.33
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · FK Jablonec8%
Fair odds 12.50

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1.85Expected goals (xG)0.78
  • 23Total shots6
  • 9Shots on target1
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 14Shots inside the box5
  • 5Corners1
  • 0Offsides1
  • 15Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Goalkeeper saves8
  • 519Passes316
  • 478Accurate passes258
  • 92%Pass accuracy82%

Line-ups

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Mio BackhausG
  2. 17Lukas KüblerD
  3. 28Matthias GinterD
  4. 37Maximilian RosenfelderD
  5. 30Christian GünterD
  6. 8Maximilian EggesteinM
  7. 6Patrick OsterhageM
  8. 22Cyriaque IriéM
  9. 14Yuito SuzukiM
  10. 32Vincenzo GrifoM
  11. 9Lucas HölerF

Substitutes

  1. 33Jordy MakengoD
  2. 31Igor MatanovićF
  3. 3Philipp LienhartD
  4. 42Keisuke GotoF
  5. 21Florian MüllerG
  6. 24Jannik HuthG
  7. 5Anthony JungD
  8. 29Philipp TreuD
  9. 16Yannick EngelhardtM
  10. 20Rihito YamamotoM
  11. 40Mateo ZelicF

FK Jablonec

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Jan HanušG
  2. 18Martin CedidlaD
  3. 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
  4. 15Dušan PavlovićD
  5. 20Jiří SlámaD
  6. 6Nelson OkekeM
  7. 13Richard SedláčekM
  8. 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
  9. 17Saidou Alioum MoubarakM
  10. 21Matěj PolidarM
  11. 9Antonín RůsekF

Substitutes

  1. 25Sebastian NebylaM
  2. 36Garang KuolM
  3. 99Klemen MihelakG
  4. 31Evzen MalyD
  5. 57Filip NovákD
  6. 8Filip ZorvanM
  7. 12David NykrinD
  8. 14Daniel SoučekD
  9. 24Dominik HollýM
  10. 19Jan ChramostaF

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.33 – 0.64
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.6%Under20.4%
2.5 goalsOver57.0%Under43.0%
3.5 goalsOver34.6%Under65.4%
4.5 goalsOver18.0%Under82.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SC FreiburgFK Jablonec
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
78%Expected goals22%
90%Overall10%

Last matches

Newest first
SC Freiburg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FK Jablonec0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSC FreiburgFK Jablonec
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

SC Freiburg host FK Jablonec in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes SC Freiburg clear favourites, giving SC Freiburg a 75% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 8% for FK Jablonec. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?

SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec in the table?

SC Freiburg are 18th and FK Jablonec are 24th in the Conference League.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: SC Freiburg 75%, draw 17%, FK Jablonec 8%.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 15 Oct

FTRiga 1-1 Kairat Almaty1X ✓FTCSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco2 ✓FTUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 GetafeX2 ✓FTMjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes1 ✓FTPanathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja Luka1 ✓FTGent 1-0 Aarhus1 ✓FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland2 ✗FTKuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor2 ✓FTHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax2 ✗FTFC Lugano 3-2 FK Crvena ZvezdaOver 1.5 ✓FTSt. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 19991 ✓FTTwente 1-0 FC ThunOver 2.5 ✗FTAtalanta 3-1 Pafos1 ✓FTBrann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCOver 2.5 ✓FTBrighton 4-0 Kauno ŽalgirisNG ✓FTHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandX2 ✓FTFC Copenhagen 3-0 SC BragaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today