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TodaysPrediction

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction for the Conference League on 15 Oct 2026: Monaco to win (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Conference League · League Stage - 1
CSKA SofiaNo recent gamesMonacoNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-2
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

Match events

CSKA SofiaMonaco
  1. 3'Goal: P. BrunnerAssist: S. Idumbo
  2. 43'Goal: A. FatiAssist: P. Brunner

HT 0-2

  1. Yellow card: S. SensiRoughing51'
  2. 59'Substitution: T. MinaminoOff: A. Golovin
  3. 59'Substitution: L. CamaraOff: D. Zakaria
  4. 59'Substitution: M. SalisuOff: Nazinho
  5. 64'Substitution: S. IdumboOff: M. Abline
  6. Yellow card: M. EbongTripping69'
  7. Substitution: Leo PereiraOff: C. Itu73'
  8. Substitution: L. GodoyOff: J. Zwarts73'
  9. Goal: J. ZwartsAssist: S. Sensi76'
  10. 77'Substitution: A. FatiOff: A. Soubeir
  11. 78'Yellow card: E. DiopTripping
  12. Substitution: D. AlmeidaOff: T. Ivanov85'
  13. Substitution: I. PittasOff: I. Solet85'
  14. Substitution: M. EbongOff: J. Eto'o85'
  15. Yellow card: A. Martino90+6'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Monaco to win

Bet365 1.48

63%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · CSKA Sofia16%
Fair odds 6.25
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Monaco63%
Fair odds 1.59

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 1.23Expected goals (xG)1.32
  • 20Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 9Shots off target2
  • 6Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box9
  • 10Corners1
  • 1Offsides1
  • 12Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 379Passes438
  • 307Accurate passes387
  • 81%Pass accuracy88%

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 21Fedor LapoukhovG
  2. 2PastorD
  3. 4Dinis AlmeidaD
  4. 32Facundo RodríguezD
  5. 17Ángelo MartinoD
  6. 6Bruno JordãoM
  7. 28Ioannis PittasM
  8. 7Max EbongM
  9. 8Stefano SensiM
  10. 38Léo PereiraM
  11. 9Leandro GodoyF

Substitutes

  1. 67Cătălin ItuM
  2. 10Joël ZwartsF
  3. 25Dimitar EvtimovG
  4. 31Daniel NikolovG
  5. 14Teodor IvanovD
  6. 19Andrey YordanovD
  7. 91Aleks TunchevD
  8. 30Petko PanayotovM
  9. 34Vasil KaymakanovF
  10. 94Isaac SoletM
  11. 99James Eto'oM

Monaco

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Lukáš HrádeckýG
  2. 4Jordan TezeD
  3. 72Sadibou SanéD
  4. 22Mohammed SalisuD
  5. 13Christian MawissaD
  6. 18Takumi MinaminoM
  7. 8Lamine CamaraM
  8. 37Edan DiopM
  9. 17Stanis Idumbo MuzamboM
  10. 29Paris BrunnerF
  11. 31Ansu FatiF

Substitutes

  1. 20NazinhoD
  2. 6Denis ZakariaM
  3. 10Aleksandr GolovinM
  4. 11Matthis AblineF
  5. 16Philipp KöhnG
  6. 2VandersonD
  7. 7Mathys DetourbetF
  8. 19Pape CabralM
  9. 28Mamadou CoulibalyM
  10. 46Anis SoubeirM
  11. 49Ilane TouréM
  12. 14Mika BierethF

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.95 – 2.11
0.5 goalsOver95.3%Under4.7%
1.5 goalsOver81.0%Under19.0%
2.5 goalsOver59.0%Under41.0%
3.5 goalsOver36.6%Under63.4%
4.5 goalsOver19.5%Under80.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CSKA SofiaMonaco
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
31%Expected goals69%
20%Overall80%

Last matches

Newest first
CSKA Sofia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Monaco0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCSKA SofiaMonaco
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

CSKA Sofia host Monaco in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Monaco favourites, giving CSKA Sofia a 16% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 63% for Monaco. Our tip is: Monaco to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are CSKA Sofia and Monaco in the table?

CSKA Sofia are 23rd and Monaco are 6th in the Conference League.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

Our prediction is Monaco to win. Win probabilities: CSKA Sofia 16%, draw 21%, Monaco 63%.

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 15 Oct

FTRiga 1-1 Kairat Almaty1X ✓FTUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 GetafeX2 ✓FTMjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes1 ✓FTPanathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja Luka1 ✓FTGent 1-0 Aarhus1 ✓FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland2 ✗FTKuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor2 ✓FTHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax2 ✗FTFC Lugano 3-2 FK Crvena ZvezdaOver 1.5 ✓FTSt. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 19991 ✓FTTwente 1-0 FC ThunOver 2.5 ✗FTAtalanta 3-1 Pafos1 ✓FTBrann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCOver 2.5 ✓FTBrighton 4-0 Kauno ŽalgirisNG ✓FTSC Freiburg 3-2 FK JablonecUnder 3.5 ✗FTHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandX2 ✓FTFC Copenhagen 3-0 SC BragaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today