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FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction for the Conference League on 22 Oct 2026: FC Nordsjaelland to win (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia
2 - 2Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-1
Right to Dream Park, Farum

Match events

FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia
  1. 8'Goal: L. GodoyAssist: S. Sensi
  2. 20'Yellow card: D. AlmeidaTripping
  3. Substitution: V. NelssonOff: T. Salquist30'
  4. Yellow card: S. AcquahTripping36'
  5. Yellow card: J. Olsen36'

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: I. AdelAssist: N. Markmann55'
  2. Yellow card: J. JanssenTripping59'
  3. Substitution: N. RojkjaerOff: M. Heyde61'
  4. Substitution: V. BerthelsenOff: H. Rasmussen62'
  5. 65'Substitution: P. PanayotovOff: C. Itu
  6. Goal: I. AdelAssist: A. Lind67'
  7. Yellow card: J. JanssenHolding76'
  8. Red card: J. JanssenHolding76'
  9. 77'Substitution: D. AlmeidaOff: I. Solet
  10. 77'Substitution: M. EbongOff: T. Ivanov
  11. Substitution: J. LahteenmakiOff: M. Walker81'
  12. Substitution: I. AdelOff: M. Brink81'
  13. 84'Substitution: J. Eto'oOff: Pastor
  14. 84'Yellow card: T. IvanovTripping
  15. 88'Goal: L. Godoy
  16. 90'Yellow card: B. JordaoUnsportsmanlike conduct
  17. Yellow card: A. HansenUnsportsmanlike conduct90'
  18. 90'Yellow card: I. SoletUnsportsmanlike conduct
  19. Yellow card: N. MarkmannUnsportsmanlike conduct90+1'

Our verdict

1 ✗

FC Nordsjaelland to win

Bet365 1.38

68%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · FC Nordsjaelland68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw19%
Fair odds 5.26
2 · CSKA Sofia13%
Fair odds 7.69

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 1.18Expected goals (xG)1.02
  • 12Total shots15
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 2Shots off target6
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 7Shots inside the box8
  • 5Corners2
  • 5Offsides2
  • 12Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 437Passes356
  • 351Accurate passes288
  • 80%Pass accuracy81%

Line-ups

FC Nordsjaelland

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 13Andreas HansenG
  2. 15Stephen AcquahD
  3. 25Victor NelssonD
  4. 4Noah MarkmannD
  5. 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
  6. 18Justin JanssenM
  7. 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
  8. 5Juho LähteenmäkiM
  9. 29Villum BerthelsenF
  10. 11Alexander LindF
  11. 14Ibrahim AdelF

Substitutes

  1. 3Tobias SalquistD
  2. 21Malte HeydeM
  3. 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
  4. 28Markus WalkerD
  5. 6Mark BrinkM
  6. 16Jakob BuskG
  7. 22Carljohan ErikssonG
  8. 2Peter AnkersenD
  9. 35Villads RutkjærD
  10. 9Ola SolbakkenF
  11. 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
  12. 37Lamine SadioM

CSKA Sofia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 21Fedor LapoukhovG
  2. 2PastorD
  3. 4Dinis AlmeidaD
  4. 32Facundo RodríguezD
  5. 17Ángelo MartinoD
  6. 7Max EbongM
  7. 6Bruno JordãoM
  8. 8Stefano SensiM
  9. 28Ioannis PittasF
  10. 9Leandro GodoyF
  11. 30Petko PanayotovF

Substitutes

  1. 67Cătălin ItuM
  2. 14Teodor IvanovD
  3. 94Isaac SoletM
  4. 25Dimitar EvtimovG
  5. 31Daniel NikolovG
  6. 19Andrey YordanovD
  7. 91Aleks TunchevD
  8. 34Vasil KaymakanovF
  9. 99James Eto'oM

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.26 – 0.89
0.5 goalsOver95.7%Under4.3%
1.5 goalsOver82.2%Under17.8%
2.5 goalsOver61.0%Under39.0%
3.5 goalsOver38.6%Under61.4%
4.5 goalsOver21.1%Under78.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia
100%Form0%
67%Attack33%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
72%Expected goals28%
84%Overall16%

Last matches

Newest first

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia
Played21
Wins00
Draws20
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)22
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.51/21/1
Over 3.51/20/1
BTTS – yes2/21/1

Match preview

FC Nordsjaelland host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Right to Dream Park, Farum, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Nordsjaelland clear favourites, giving FC Nordsjaelland a 68% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 13% for CSKA Sofia. Our tip is: FC Nordsjaelland to win.

FC Nordsjaelland have taken 2 points from their last 2 games (0W 2D 0L). CSKA Sofia have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Right to Dream Park, Farum

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia in the table?

FC Nordsjaelland are 19th and CSKA Sofia are 23rd in the Conference League.

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our prediction is FC Nordsjaelland to win. Win probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland 68%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 13%.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 22 Oct

FTKairat Almaty 1-5 Panathinaikos2 ✓FTFC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIFX2 ✓FTFK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC CopenhagenOver 1.5 ✓FTGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUnder 3.5 ✗FTInter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova2 ✓FTFK Jablonec 0-0 Brighton2 ✗FTKauno Žalgiris 1-4 BrannOver 1.5 ✓FTPafos 1-1 Riga1 ✗FTTrabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian1 ✓FTSC Braga 2-0 GentUnder 3.5 ✓FTLincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 Twente2 ✓FTFC Midtjylland 0-1 St. Truiden1 ✗FTMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Thun 0-1 HNK Hajduk SplitX2 ✓FTAjax 2-0 Atalanta12 ✓FTAarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë1 ✗FTBorac Banja Luka 2-0 KuPS1X ✓

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