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Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann prediction

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann prediction for the Conference League on 22 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Conference League · League Stage - 2
Kauno ŽalgirisBrann
1 - 4Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 1-3
National Football Academy, Kaunas

Match events

Kauno ŽalgirisBrann
  1. 7'Penalty goal: N. Castro (pen)
  2. Goal: Renan Oliveira12'
  3. 25'Goal: N. HolmAssist: J. Soltvedt
  4. Yellow card: I. FiolicTripping36'
  5. Yellow card: Leo RibeiroFoul37'
  6. 40'Goal: N. HolmAssist: E. Gudmundsson
  7. Yellow card: F. OuregaFoul42'

HT 1-3

  1. Substitution: Leo RibeiroOff: L. Krekovic46'
  2. Substitution: R. LekiatasOff: A. Hernandez46'
  3. Substitution: I. FiolicOff: V. Slivka46'
  4. Yellow card: N. Iyobosa EdokpolorHolding54'
  5. Substitution: F. OuregaOff: M. Burba64'
  6. 68'Yellow card: E. GudmundssonFoul
  7. 68'Substitution: S. MagnussonOff: K. Eriksen
  8. 75'Substitution: J. SoltvedtOff: V. Dragsnes
  9. 75'Substitution: J. TorsvikOff: T. Pedersen
  10. Substitution: G. DebeljuhOff: Renan Oliveira82'
  11. 85'Goal: N. HolmAssist: K. Eriksen
  12. 89'Substitution: N. CastroOff: J. Laegreid
  13. 89'Substitution: E. GudmundssonOff: B. Finne
  14. Yellow card: A. HernandezFoul90'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-4

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Kauno Žalgiris21%
Fair odds 4.76
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Brann54%
Fair odds 1.85

Match statistics

  • 32%Possession68%
  • 1.50Expected goals (xG)2.53
  • 11Total shots19
  • 2Shots on target7
  • 7Shots off target8
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 10Shots inside the box15
  • 1Corners4
  • 1Offsides1
  • 11Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 4Goalkeeper saves1
  • 301Passes658
  • 231Accurate passes580
  • 77%Pass accuracy88%

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 55Tomas ŠvedkauskasG
  2. 45Joris MoutachyD
  3. 3Anton TolordavaD
  4. 77Rokas LekiatasD
  5. 37Nosa Iyobosa EdokpolorD
  6. 20Anthony KalikM
  7. 70Fabien OuregaM
  8. 17Ivan FiolićM
  9. 10Gratas SirgėdasM
  10. 15Léo RibeiroM
  11. 19Renan OliveiraF

Substitutes

  1. 23Aldayr HernándezD
  2. 9Leon KrekovićF
  3. 14Vykintas SlivkaM
  4. 24Motiejus BurbaF
  5. 27Gabriel DebeljuhF
  6. 22Deividas MikelionisG
  7. 62Lirim KastratiD
  8. 74Adomas UžkurnysM
  9. 8Yukiyoshi KarashimaM
  10. 47Vejas PociusM
  11. 7Amine BenchaibM

Brann

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 12Simen Vidtun NilsenG
  2. 15Jonas TorsvikD
  3. 3Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenD
  4. 18Jacob Lungi SørensenD
  5. 17Joachim SoltvedtD
  6. 10Kristall Máni IngasonM
  7. 25Niklas Jensen WassbergM
  8. 19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonM
  9. 22Sævar Atli MagnússonF
  10. 29Noah Jean HolmF
  11. 9Niklas CastroF

Substitutes

  1. 16Kristian EriksenM
  2. 20Vetle DragsnesD
  3. 23Thore PedersenD
  4. 1Mathias DyngelandG
  5. 36Håkon Melås HellesøyG
  6. 41Andreas WilhelmsenD
  7. 2Leo CornicD
  8. 43Brage Berg HaugenM
  9. 11Bård FinneF
  10. 39Julian LægreidF

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.80
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Kauno ŽalgirisBrann
50%Form50%
25%Attack75%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
37%Expected goals63%
28%Overall72%

Last matches

Newest first
Kauno Žalgiris1W 0D 1L · last 2
WSuduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris19 Oct 2026 · A Lyga0-1LBrighton vs Kauno Žalgiris15 Oct 2026 · Conference League4-0
Brann1W 0D 1L · last 2
LValerenga vs Brann18 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien3-1WBrann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC15 Oct 2026 · Conference League2-1

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKauno ŽalgirisBrann
Played22
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51.5
Goals against (avg)22
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/22/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes0/22/2

Match preview

Kauno Žalgiris host Brann in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at National Football Academy, Kaunas, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Brann favourites, giving Kauno Žalgiris a 21% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 54% for Brann. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Kauno Žalgiris have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Brann have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
National Football Academy, Kaunas

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are Kauno Žalgiris and Brann in the table?

Kauno Žalgiris are 36th and Brann are 3rd in the Conference League.

Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Kauno Žalgiris 21%, draw 25%, Brann 54%.

Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 22 Oct

FTKairat Almaty 1-5 Panathinaikos2 ✓FTFC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIFX2 ✓FTFK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC CopenhagenOver 1.5 ✓FTGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUnder 3.5 ✗FTInter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova2 ✓FTFK Jablonec 0-0 Brighton2 ✗FTFC Nordsjaelland 2-2 CSKA Sofia1 ✗FTPafos 1-1 Riga1 ✗FTTrabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian1 ✓FTSC Braga 2-0 GentUnder 3.5 ✓FTLincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 Twente2 ✓FTFC Midtjylland 0-1 St. Truiden1 ✗FTMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Thun 0-1 HNK Hajduk SplitX2 ✓FTAjax 2-0 Atalanta12 ✓FTAarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë1 ✗FTBorac Banja Luka 2-0 KuPS1X ✓

All football predictions for today