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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction for the Conference League on 22 Oct 2026: Panathinaikos to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday22October 2026
Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikos
1 - 5Full time · Thu 22 OctHT 0-2
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty

Match events

Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikos
  1. 6'Goal: V. TabordaAssist: G. Kyriakopoulos
  2. 24'Penalty goal: C. Dessers (pen)
  3. Yellow card: E. TapalovTripping25'
  4. 29'VARVAR: A. TettehGoal Disallowed - offside
  5. Substitution: O. BaybekOff: A. Shirobokov32'
  6. 45+1'Yellow card: E. Palmer-BrownTripping
  7. Yellow card: A. MrynskiyRoughing45+2'

HT 0-2

  1. Substitution: O. JukkolaOff: Edmilson46'
  2. 47'Goal: C. DessersAssist: A. Tetteh
  3. 56'Substitution: C. DessersOff: E. Rastoder
  4. 56'Substitution: E. CamaraOff: K. Kangwa
  5. 57'Goal: K. Kangwa
  6. Substitution: L. MataOff: L. Kurgin65'
  7. Substitution: M. GualOff: I. Bekbolat65'
  8. Substitution: J. OksanenOff: D. Kasabulat65'
  9. 65'Substitution: S. AndinoOff: F. Pellistri
  10. 65'Substitution: I. LouzaOff: P. Chirivella
  11. 75'Goal: E. Rastoder
  12. 75'Substitution: S. de VrijOff: G. Katris
  13. 77'Yellow card: K. KangwaHolding
  14. Goal: I. BekbolatAssist: A. Shirobokov79'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Panathinaikos to win

Bet365 1.62

58%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-5

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Kairat Almaty19%
Fair odds 5.26
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Panathinaikos58%
Fair odds 1.72

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 0.83Expected goals (xG)2.49
  • 12Total shots11
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 8Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 6Shots inside the box9
  • 4Corners3
  • 2Offsides2
  • 12Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 340Passes482
  • 262Accurate passes407
  • 77%Pass accuracy84%

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
  2. 20Erkin TapalovD
  3. 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
  4. 8Olzhas BaibekD
  5. 3Luís MataD
  6. 22Gustavo MendoncaM
  7. 13Jaakko OksanenM
  8. 24Aleksandr MrynskiyM
  9. 28Marc GualM
  10. 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
  11. 9EdmilsonF

Substitutes

  1. 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
  2. 82Sherkhan KalmurzaG
  3. 5Lev KurginD
  4. 4Damir KasabulatD
  5. 6Adilet SadybekovM
  6. 19Oiva JukkolaM
  7. 15Mansur BirkurmanovF
  8. 81Ismail BekbolatF

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Iñaki PeñaG
  2. 19Triantafyllos TsaprasD
  3. 14Erik Palmer BrownD
  4. 6Stefan de VrijD
  5. 77Georgios KyriakopoulosD
  6. 22Etienne CamaraM
  7. 26Imrân LouzaM
  8. 20Vicente TabordaM
  9. 7Andreas TettehM
  10. 10Santino AndinoM
  11. 9Cyriel DessersF

Substitutes

  1. 71Christos GitonasG
  2. 70Konstantinos KotsarisG
  3. 2Davide CalabriaD
  4. 3Georgios KatrisD
  5. 55Rick Van DrongelenD
  6. 4Pedro ChirivellaM
  7. 18Sotiris KontourisM
  8. 28Facundo PellistriM
  9. 42Kings KangwaM
  10. 53Iason NempisF
  11. 74Elmin RastoderF
  12. 99Levi GarcíaF

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.84
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
2.5 goalsOver52.8%Under47.2%
3.5 goalsOver30.6%Under69.4%
4.5 goalsOver15.1%Under84.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikos
14%Form86%
22%Attack78%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
34%Expected goals66%
25%Overall75%

Last matches

Newest first

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKairat AlmatyPanathinaikos
Played12
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)13.5
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/2
Over 2.50/12/2
Over 3.50/11/2
BTTS – yes1/12/2

Match preview

Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Panathinaikos favourites, giving Kairat Almaty a 19% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 58% for Panathinaikos. Our tip is: Panathinaikos to win.

Kairat Almaty have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Panathinaikos have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 22 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos in the table?

Kairat Almaty are 31st and Panathinaikos are 1st in the Conference League.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our prediction is Panathinaikos to win. Win probabilities: Kairat Almaty 19%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 58%.

Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 22 Oct

FTFC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIFX2 ✓FTFK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC CopenhagenOver 1.5 ✓FTGetafe 2-5 FC LuganoUnder 3.5 ✗FTInter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova2 ✓FTFK Jablonec 0-0 Brighton2 ✗FTKauno Žalgiris 1-4 BrannOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Nordsjaelland 2-2 CSKA Sofia1 ✗FTPafos 1-1 Riga1 ✗FTTrabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian1 ✓FTSC Braga 2-0 GentUnder 3.5 ✓FTLincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 Twente2 ✓FTFC Midtjylland 0-1 St. Truiden1 ✗FTMonaco 3-0 SC FreiburgOver 1.5 ✓FTFC Thun 0-1 HNK Hajduk SplitX2 ✓FTAjax 2-0 Atalanta12 ✓FTAarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë1 ✗FTBorac Banja Luka 2-0 KuPS1X ✓

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