Match events
St. Truiden- 11'Yellow card: R. VanwesemaelUnsportsmanlike conduct
- Yellow card: P. BravoRoughing22'
- 42'Goal: F. SoelleAssist: R. Vanwesemael
HT 0-1
- Substitution: Hong Hyun-SeokOff: S. Iheanacho46'
- Substitution: P. BravoOff: Cho Gue-Sung46'
- Substitution: M. RajovicOff: F. Etim46'
- 59'Yellow card: I. SebaouiTripping
- Substitution: D. MartinezOff: V. Bak69'
- 72'Substitution: F. SoelleOff: S. Bazdar
- 72'Substitution: R. MerlenOff: K. Matsuzawa
- Substitution: J. EmefileOff: A. Ndiaye79'
- 85'Substitution: J. PupeOff: T. Hata
- 85'Substitution: N. MbukuOff: A. Muja
- 90+4'Substitution: R. VanwesemaelOff: W. Janssens
Our verdict
FC Midtjylland to win
Bet365 1.62
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 43%Possession57%
- 2.70Expected goals (xG)1.70
- 19Total shots15
- 4Shots on target6
- 8Shots off target7
- 7Blocked shots2
- 15Shots inside the box9
- 6Corners5
- 1Offsides0
- 12Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards2
- 5Goalkeeper saves3
- 321Passes434
- 235Accurate passes323
- 73%Pass accuracy74%
Line-ups
FC Midtjylland
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 25Nordin BakkerG
- 5Rasmus KristensenD
- 4Ousmane DiaoD
- 22Mads Bech SørensenD
- 19Pedro BravoM
- 98David Martínez MoralesM
- 20Hong Hyun-seokM
- 29Kjell WätjenM
- 27Sofus JohannesenM
- 38Julius EmefileF
- 9Mileta RajovićF
Substitutes
- 18Stanley IheanachoF
- 10Gue-sung ChoF
- 90Friday EtimF
- 60Mark UgbohG
- 30Ovie EjeheriG
- 15Beni JuniorD
- 34Abdou Aziz NdiayeD
- 55Victor Bak JensenD
- 17Mikael UhreF
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16Léo KokuboG
- 60Robert-Jan VanwesemaelD
- 4Kota TakaiD
- 26Visar MusliuD
- 23Joedrick PupeD
- 8Abdoulaye SissakoM
- 18Nelson IshiwatariM
- 11Nathanaël MbukuM
- 14Ryan MerlenM
- 10Ilias SebaouiM
- 19Frederic Soelle SoelleF
Substitutes
- 35Yanis NgoyG
- 21Matt LendfersG
- 27Jeremy Kandje MbambiD
- 3Taiga HataD
- 22Wolke JanssensD
- 5Shogo TaniguchiD
- 71Ryotaro ArakiM
- 7Arbnor MujaF
- 99Shion ShinkawaM
- 77Oumar DioufF
- 38Kaito MatsuzawaF
- 9Samed BaždarF
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.05 – 1.13Half time / full time result. 1 = FC Midtjylland, X = draw, 2 = St. Truiden.
Asian handicap applied to FC Midtjylland.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstConference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FC Midtjylland | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/2 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/2 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 0/1 |
Match preview
FC Midtjylland host St. Truiden in the Conference League (League Stage - 2) at MCH Arena, Herning, with kick-off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes FC Midtjylland favourites, giving FC Midtjylland a 58% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 20% for St. Truiden. Our tip is: FC Midtjylland to win.
FC Midtjylland have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). St. Truiden have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 22 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- MCH Arena, Herning
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden kicks off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden in the table?
FC Midtjylland are 25th and St. Truiden are 7th in the Conference League.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our prediction is FC Midtjylland to win. Win probabilities: FC Midtjylland 58%, draw 22%, St. Truiden 20%.
Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.