Match events
Ajax- Goal: A. SanyangAssist: M. Soticek37'
- Yellow card: A. del MoralDelay of game45'
HT 1-0
- 53'Goal: D. KlaassenAssist: T. Kehrer
- Goal: M. SoticekAssist: M. Sego55'
- Yellow card: M. SegoHolding60'
- Substitution: A. del MoralOff: L. Dendoncker69'
- 76'Substitution: D. KlaassenOff: J. Mokio
- 76'Substitution: A. OuazaneOff: O. Gloukh
- 76'Substitution: V. TsygankovOff: L. Rosa
- 77'Substitution: J. TorrentsOff: Marcos Leonardo
- Substitution: S. HrgovicOff: D. Melnjak82'
- Substitution: A. SanyangOff: A. Sutalo82'
- Substitution: M. SegoOff: C. Martin90+1'
- Substitution: K. FayadOff: A. Van Hoorenbeeck90+1'
Our verdict
Ajax to win
Bet365 1.62
✗ This tip lost · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 45%Possession55%
- 1.80Expected goals (xG)0.95
- 13Total shots10
- 7Shots on target4
- 2Shots off target2
- 4Blocked shots4
- 7Shots inside the box8
- 4Corners5
- 5Offsides1
- 18Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves5
- 356Passes433
- 298Accurate passes372
- 84%Pass accuracy86%
Line-ups
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33Toni SilićG
- 22Mathieu AcapandiéD
- 6Dennis HadžikadunićD
- 15Dario MarešićD
- 32Šimun HrgovićD
- 20Alberto del MoralM
- 8Khalil FayadM
- 7Abdoulie Sanyang BambaM
- 9Dalisson de AlmeidaM
- 23Marin ŠotičekM
- 11Michele ŠegoF
Substitutes
- 44Dante StipicaG
- 99Davyd FesyukG
- 14Ron RaçiD
- 3Roko GabrićD
- 5Alec Van HoorenbeeckD
- 17Dario MelnjakD
- 38Luka HodakD
- 16Anđelo ŠutaloM
- 18Leander DendonckerM
- 26Adam HuramM
- 77Carlos MartínF
- 10Marko LivajaF
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Marc-André Ter StegenG
- 6Thilo KehrerD
- 30Aaron BouwmanD
- 15Youri BaasD
- 21Jofre TorrentsD
- 18Davy KlaassenM
- 4Sofyan AmrabatM
- 8Julian BrandtM
- 11Viktor TsygankovF
- 99Tolu ArokodareF
- 68Abdellah OuazaneF
Substitutes
- 26Maarten PaesG
- 62Aymean el HaniG
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 5Owen WijndalD
- 36Dies JanseD
- 10Oscar GloukhM
- 24Jorthy MokioM
- 67Mohamed AbdallaM
- 20Oliver Valaker EdvardsenF
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 43Rayane BounidaF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.99Half time / full time result. 1 = HNK Hajduk Split, X = draw, 2 = Ajax.
Asian handicap applied to HNK Hajduk Split.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstHNK Hajduk Split0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Ajax0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | HNK Hajduk Split | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
HNK Hajduk Split host Ajax in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at Stadion Poljud, Split, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Ajax favourites, giving HNK Hajduk Split a 23% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 55% for Ajax. Our tip is: Ajax to win.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
- Venue
- Stadion Poljud, Split
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax in the table?
HNK Hajduk Split are 8th and Ajax are 13th in the Conference League.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
Our prediction is Ajax to win. Win probabilities: HNK Hajduk Split 23%, draw 22%, Ajax 55%.
Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.