Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Match events
Leeds- 29'Yellow card: Ethan AmpaduFoul
- Yellow card: Reinildo Isnard MandavaFoul39'
HT 0-0
- Substitution: Nordi MukieleOff: Omar Alderete52'
- Substitution: Brian BrobbeyOff: Timur Tutierov65'
- 65'Substitution: Brenden AaronsonOff: Noah Okafor
- 66'Substitution: Harry WilsonOff: Anton Stach
- 67'Yellow card: Jayden BogleFoul
- Substitution: Nilson AnguloOff: Chemsdine Talbi79'
- Substitution: Enzo Le FéeOff: Habib Diarra79'
- 85'Substitution: Dominic Calvert-LewinOff: Lukas Nmecha
- 89'Substitution: Ao TanakaOff: Sean Longstaff
Our verdict
Leeds or draw
Bet365 1.36
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 51%Possession49%
- 1.01Expected goals (xG)0.66
- 15Total shots11
- 4Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target4
- 7Blocked shots3
- 8Shots inside the box7
- 4Corners5
- 3Offsides0
- 10Fouls14
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves4
- 375Passes359
- 279Accurate passes260
Line-ups
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22R. RoefsG
- 32T. HumeD
- 20N. MukieleD
- 13L. O'NienD
- 17ReinildoD
- 34G. XhakaM
- 27N. SadikiM
- 11C. RiggM
- 28E. Le FéeM
- 10N. AnguloM
- 9B. BrobbeyF
Substitutes
- 31M. EllborgG
- 19H. DiarraM
- 15O. AldereteD
- 29Jules AhokaM
- 6D. MethalieD
- 50J. AnguloF
- 7C. TalbiF
- 39M. FofanaF
- 57Timur TuterovF
Coach: R. Le Bris
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 24J. JustinD
- 15J. BijolD
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 10H. WilsonM
- 11B. AaronsonM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
Substitutes
- 16M. ZettererG
- 26M. BardD
- 18A. StachM
- 50Alfie CresswellM
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 44I. GruevM
- 14L. NmechaF
- 19N. OkaforF
- 23J. BahoyaF
Coach: D. Farke
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.14 – 1.30Half time / full time result. 1 = Sunderland, X = draw, 2 = Leeds.
Asian handicap applied to Sunderland.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPremier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 7 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 8 | 5 |
| 5 |  R. CherkiManchester City | 7 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Sunderland | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/3 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/3 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/3 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/3 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Sunderland host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) at Stadium of Light, Sunderland, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Leeds slight favourites, giving Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 40% for Leeds. Our tip is: Leeds or draw.
Sunderland have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Leeds have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
- Venue
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Sunderland vs Leeds?
Sunderland vs Leeds kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Sunderland vs Leeds in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Sunderland and Leeds in the table?
Sunderland are 20th and Leeds are 11th in the Premier League.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our prediction is Leeds or draw. Win probabilities: Sunderland 32%, draw 28%, Leeds 40%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?
We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Leeds?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.