Our verdict
Over 2.5
Bet365 1.44
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.70 – 0.66Half time / full time result. 1 = Atalanta, X = draw, 2 = Kairat Almaty.
Asian handicap applied to Atalanta.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Atalanta1W 2D 3L · last 6
Kairat Almaty0W 1D 1L · last 2Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Atalanta | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 6 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.8 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.5 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 6 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 6/6 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 5/6 | 1/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 4/6 | 1/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 4/6 | 2/2 |
Match preview
Atalanta host Kairat Almaty in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at New Balance Arena, Bergamo, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Atalanta clear favourites, giving Atalanta a 80% chance of winning, 14% for the draw and 6% for Kairat Almaty. Our tip is: Over 2.5.
Atalanta have taken 2 points from their last 5 games (0W 2D 3L). Kairat Almaty have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 45% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Atalanta and Kairat Almaty in the table?
Atalanta are 15th and Kairat Almaty are 31st in the Conference League.
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Atalanta 80%, draw 14%, Kairat Almaty 6%.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.