Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.96Half time / full time result. 1 = Panathinaikos, X = draw, 2 = CSKA Sofia.
Asian handicap applied to Panathinaikos.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Panathinaikos4W 0D 0L · last 4
CSKA Sofia1W 1D 1L · last 3Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Panathinaikos | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 4 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/4 | 3/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/4 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 1/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/4 | 2/3 |
Match preview
Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Panathinaikos favourites, giving Panathinaikos a 61% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 17% for CSKA Sofia. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Panathinaikos have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L). CSKA Sofia have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia in the table?
Panathinaikos are 1st and CSKA Sofia are 23rd in the Conference League.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Panathinaikos 61%, draw 22%, CSKA Sofia 17%.
Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.