Our verdict
Twente to win
Bet365 1.27
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.57 – 0.90Half time / full time result. 1 = Twente, X = draw, 2 = Pafos.
Asian handicap applied to Twente.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Twente4W 0D 1L · last 5
Pafos0W 3D 1L · last 4Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Twente | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.6 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 3 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 2/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/5 | 1/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/5 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/5 | 2/4 |
Match preview
Twente host Pafos in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Twente clear favourites, giving Twente a 73% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 11% for Pafos. Our tip is: Twente to win.
Twente have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (4W 0D 1L). Pafos have taken 3 points from their last 4 games (0W 3D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Twente vs Pafos?
Twente vs Pafos kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Twente vs Pafos in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Twente and Pafos in the table?
Twente are 5th and Pafos are 27th in the Conference League.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
Our prediction is Twente to win. Win probabilities: Twente 73%, draw 16%, Pafos 11%.
Will both teams score in Twente vs Pafos?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Twente vs Pafos?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.