Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.08 – 0.96Half time / full time result. 1 = Atalanta, X = draw, 2 = Parma.
Asian handicap applied to Atalanta.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Atalanta1W 2D 2L · last 5
Parma0W 1D 2L · last 3Serie A table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gustavo VarelaMonza | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  D. MalenAS Roma | 9 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. RaimondoFrosinone | 9 | 8 |
| 4 |  N. KrstovićAtalanta | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  A. RabiotAC Milan | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Atalanta | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 5/5 | 2/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 4/5 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 4/5 | 0/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 4/5 | 1/3 |
Match preview
Atalanta host Parma in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) at New Balance Arena, Bergamo, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 20:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Atalanta favourites, giving Atalanta a 63% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 16% for Parma. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Atalanta have taken 5 points from their last 5 games (1W 2D 2L). Parma have taken 1 points from their last 3 games (0W 1D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Italy Serie A
- Date
- Monday, 2 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Venue
- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta vs Parma kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Atalanta vs Parma in?
The match is in the Italy Serie A.
Where are Atalanta and Parma in the table?
Atalanta are 13th and Parma are 18th in the Serie A.
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Atalanta 63%, draw 21%, Parma 16%.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Parma?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atalanta vs Parma?
We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.