Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.22Half time / full time result. 1 = Riga, X = draw, 2 = FK Jablonec.
Asian handicap applied to Riga.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Riga1W 3D 0L · last 4
FK Jablonec1W 1D 2L · last 4Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Riga | FK Jablonec |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Match preview
Riga host FK Jablonec in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at Skonto stadions, Riga, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Riga slight favourites, giving Riga a 40% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 32% for FK Jablonec. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Riga have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (1W 3D 0L). FK Jablonec have taken 4 points from their last 4 games (1W 1D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Skonto stadions, Riga
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Riga vs FK Jablonec kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Riga vs FK Jablonec in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Riga and FK Jablonec in the table?
Riga are 21st and FK Jablonec are 24th in the Conference League.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Riga 40%, draw 28%, FK Jablonec 32%.
Will both teams score in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.