Our verdict
FC Midtjylland or Ajax
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.74Half time / full time result. 1 = FC Midtjylland, X = draw, 2 = Ajax.
Asian handicap applied to FC Midtjylland.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
FC Midtjylland3W 1D 1L · last 5
Ajax4W 0D 1L · last 5Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FC Midtjylland | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 4 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| BTTS – yes | 4/5 | 3/5 |
Match preview
FC Midtjylland host Ajax in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at MCH Arena, Herning, with kick-off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Ajax slight favourites, giving FC Midtjylland a 34% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 42% for Ajax. Our tip is: FC Midtjylland or Ajax.
FC Midtjylland have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (3W 1D 1L). Ajax have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (4W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- MCH Arena, Herning
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kicks off on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are FC Midtjylland and Ajax in the table?
FC Midtjylland are 25th and Ajax are 13th in the Conference League.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
Our prediction is FC Midtjylland or Ajax. Win probabilities: FC Midtjylland 34%, draw 24%, Ajax 42%.
Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.