Match events
Kairat Almaty- 5'Penalty goal: M. Gual (pen)
- Goal: S. Oulad M'HandAssist: M. Tonisevs12'
- 23'Yellow card: J. OksanenRoughing
- Missed penalty: M. Badamosi28'
HT 1-1
- 56'Yellow card: E. TapalovFoul
- Substitution: M. BadamosiOff: Reginaldo Ramires61'
- 73'Substitution: I. BekbolatOff: Edmilson
- 79'Substitution: A. MrynskiyOff: A. Tuyakbaev
- 80'Substitution: G. MendonsaOff: D. Kasabulat
- Substitution: R. AouaniOff: S. L. Robalo Pedro86'
- Substitution: M. DiopOff: C. Saco86'
- 90+3'Yellow card: A. MartynovichRoughing
Our verdict
Riga or draw
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 63%Possession37%
- 2.30Expected goals (xG)1.12
- 18Total shots13
- 8Shots on target3
- 6Shots off target5
- 4Blocked shots5
- 10Shots inside the box4
- 2Corners3
- 2Offsides0
- 8Fouls14
- 0Yellow cards2
- 2Goalkeeper saves7
- 585Passes336
- 507Accurate passes261
- 87%Pass accuracy78%
Line-ups
Riga
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12Kenan PirićG
- 23Maksims TonisevsD
- 21Baba MusahD
- 5Karl Gameni WassomD
- 13Raivis JurkovskisD
- 40Ahmed AnkrahM
- 8Iago Siqueira AugustoM
- 22Meïssa DiopM
- 18Salah Oulad M'HandM
- 7Raki AouaniM
- 19Muhammed BadamosiF
Substitutes
- 10Reginaldo RamiresF
- 44Marcis KazainisG
- 91Frenks OrolsG
- 34Antonijs ČernomordijsD
- 6Coli SacoM
- 15Samuel PedroF
- 25Abdulrahman TaiwoF
Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
- 20Erkin TapalovD
- 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
- 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
- 3Luís MataD
- 22Gustavo MendoncaM
- 13Jaakko OksanenM
- 24Aleksandr MrynskiyM
- 28Marc GualM
- 19Oiva JukkolaM
- 9EdmilsonF
Substitutes
- 81Ismail BekbolatF
- 82Sherkhan KalmurzaG
- 5Lev KurginD
- 4Damir KasabulatD
- 6Adilet SadybekovM
- 8Olzhas BaibekM
- 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
- 27Mukhamedali AbishM
- 15Mansur BirkurmanovF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.01Half time / full time result. 1 = Riga, X = draw, 2 = Kairat Almaty.
Asian handicap applied to Riga.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstRiga0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Kairat Almaty0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Riga | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Riga host Kairat Almaty in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at Skonto stadions, Riga, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Riga favourites, giving Riga a 50% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 24% for Kairat Almaty. Our tip is: Riga or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
- Venue
- Skonto stadions, Riga
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
Riga vs Kairat Almaty kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Riga vs Kairat Almaty in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Riga and Kairat Almaty in the table?
Riga are 21st and Kairat Almaty are 31st in the Conference League.
Who will win Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
Our prediction is Riga or draw. Win probabilities: Riga 50%, draw 26%, Kairat Almaty 24%.
Will both teams score in Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.