Our verdict
Paris Saint Germain to win
Bet365 1.57
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.41 – 2.30Half time / full time result. 1 = Villarreal, X = draw, 2 = Paris Saint Germain.
Asian handicap applied to Villarreal.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Villarreal1W 1D 2L · last 4
Paris Saint Germain5W 0D 0L · last 5Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Villarreal | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 3.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 5 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/4 | 5/5 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/4 | 4/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 4/5 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/4 | 4/5 |
Match preview
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, with kick-off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites, giving Villarreal a 22% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 57% for Paris Saint Germain. Our tip is: Paris Saint Germain to win.
Villarreal have taken 4 points from their last 4 games (1W 1D 2L). Paris Saint Germain have taken 15 points from their last 5 games (5W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain in the table?
Villarreal are 19th and Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Champions League.
Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain to win. Win probabilities: Villarreal 22%, draw 21%, Paris Saint Germain 57%.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate a 71% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.