Our verdict
Barcelona to win
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.99 – 1.10Half time / full time result. 1 = Barcelona, X = draw, 2 = Aston Villa.
Asian handicap applied to Barcelona.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Barcelona3W 0D 2L · last 5
Aston Villa4W 1D 0L · last 5Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Barcelona | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 4 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 5/5 | 3/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 4/5 | 2/5 |
| BTTS – yes | 5/5 | 3/5 |
Match preview
Barcelona host Aston Villa in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona, with kick-off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Barcelona clear favourites, giving Barcelona a 75% chance of winning, 15% for the draw and 10% for Aston Villa. Our tip is: Barcelona to win.
Barcelona have taken 9 points from their last 5 games (3W 0D 2L). Aston Villa have taken 13 points from their last 5 games (4W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Barcelona vs Aston Villa kicks off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Barcelona vs Aston Villa in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are Barcelona and Aston Villa in the table?
Barcelona are 8th and Aston Villa are 2nd in the Champions League.
Who will win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Our prediction is Barcelona to win. Win probabilities: Barcelona 75%, draw 15%, Aston Villa 10%.
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.