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Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction

Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction for the La Liga on 30 Oct 2026: Villarreal to win (61%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
La Liga · Regular Season - 11
VillarrealEspanyol
0 - 1Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-0
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Match events

VillarrealEspanyol
  1. Substitution: Nicolas PépéOff: Gerard Moreno18'
  2. 21'Yellow card: Rafel BauzàPersistent Infringement
  3. 41'Yellow card: Roger HinojoHandball

HT 0-0

  1. 50'VARVAR: Roberto Fernández JaénGoal cancelled
  2. Yellow card: Sergi Cardona BermúdezFoul53'
  3. Yellow card: Santi ComesañaFoul56'
  4. Substitution: Ayoze PérezOff: Alberto Moleiro59'
  5. Substitution: Sergi Cardona BermúdezOff: Carlos Romero59'
  6. 60'Goal: Leandro CabreraAssist: Bryan Zaragoza
  7. 61'Substitution: José Ángel López GálvezOff: Roger Hinojo
  8. 61'Substitution: Pol LozanoOff: Rafel Bauzà
  9. 75'Yellow card: Bryan ZaragozaFoul
  10. 77'Substitution: Javi PuadoOff: Bryan Zaragoza
  11. 77'Substitution: Jan Peries DuranOff: Alejandro Santiago Vargas
  12. Substitution: Alex FreemanOff: Pau Navarro80'
  13. Substitution: Tajon BuchananOff: Tani Oluwaseyi80'
  14. 88'Substitution: Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaOff: Gabriel Moscardo
  15. Yellow card: Carlos MaciàFoul90+1'

Our verdict

1 ✗

Villarreal to win

Bet365 1.45

61%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Villarreal61%
Fair odds 1.64
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Espanyol18%
Fair odds 5.56

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 0.92Expected goals (xG)0.26
  • 14Total shots5
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target1
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 7Shots inside the box2
  • 7Corners3
  • 15Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 564Passes326
  • 503Accurate passes263

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 25P. GulácsiG
  2. 15S. MouriñoD
  3. 6Pau NavarroD
  4. 12Renato VeigaD
  5. 23Sergi CardonaD
  6. 17T. BuchananM
  7. 16C. MaciaM
  8. 14Santi ComesañaM
  9. 10Alberto MoleiroM
  10. 7Gerard MorenoF
  11. 9G. MikautadzeF

Substitutes

  1. 20Carlos RomeroD
  2. 13Rubén GómezG
  3. 3A. FreemanD
  4. 27N. El JmiliF
  5. 1Luíz JúniorG
  6. 2Logan CostaD
  7. 21T. OluwaseyiF
  8. 19N. PépéF
  9. 22Ayoze PérezF
  10. 30C. Tidiane ThiamM

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Espanyol

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Ángel FortuñoG
  2. 23O. El HilaliD
  3. 16V. DrkušićD
  4. 6L. CabreraD
  5. 21Roger HinojoD
  6. 26Rafel BauzàM
  7. 8Edu ExpósitoM
  8. 36Alejandro Santiago VargasM
  9. 28Javier HernandezM
  10. 15Bryan ZaragozaM
  11. 9Roberto FernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 24T. DolanF
  2. 18Marcos FernándezF
  3. 20Gabriel MoscardoM
  4. 3Q. HartmanD
  5. 32J. A. LopezD
  6. 10Pol LozanoM
  7. 11Pere MillaM
  8. 14Unai NúñezD
  9. 7Javi PuadoF
  10. 27Adama TimeraD
  11. 13M. DmitrovićG
  12. 33Jan Peries DuranF

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.12 – 1.06
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.6%Under17.4%
2.5 goalsOver61.6%Under38.4%
3.5 goalsOver39.3%Under60.7%
4.5 goalsOver21.6%Under78.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VillarrealEspanyol
100%Form0%
80%Attack20%
47%Defence53%
50%Head to head50%
67%Expected goals33%
77%Overall23%

Last matches

Newest first
Villarreal1W 1D 1L · last 3
LLiverpool vs Villarreal20 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-3DVillarreal vs Elche17 Oct 2026 · La Liga0-0WVillarreal vs Napoli13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-1
Espanyol0W 0D 2L · last 2
LRacing Santander vs Espanyol24 Oct 2026 · La Liga2-1LEspanyol vs Atletico Madrid17 Oct 2026 · La Liga0-1

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1112
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander118
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVillarrealEspanyol
Played32
Wins10
Draws10
Losses12
Goals for (avg)20.5
Goals against (avg)1.71.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score11
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/31/2
Over 2.52/31/2
Over 3.52/30/2
BTTS – yes2/31/2

Match preview

Villarreal host Espanyol in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Villarreal favourites, giving Villarreal a 61% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 18% for Espanyol. Our tip is: Villarreal to win.

Villarreal have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Espanyol have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Villarreal vs Espanyol kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Villarreal vs Espanyol in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Villarreal and Espanyol in the table?

Villarreal are 8th and Espanyol are 14th in the La Liga.

Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Our prediction is Villarreal to win. Win probabilities: Villarreal 61%, draw 21%, Espanyol 18%.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Espanyol?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Espanyol?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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