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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction for the Ligue 1 on 30 Oct 2026: Paris Saint Germain to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Le HavreParis Saint Germain
1 - 5Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-2
Stade Océane, Le Havre

Match events

Le HavreParis Saint Germain
  1. Goal: Josh MajaAssist: Rayan Fofana18'
  2. 26'Goal: Mika GodtsAssist: Achraf Hakimi
  3. 28'Goal: Achraf HakimiAssist: Senny Mayulu
  4. 28'VARVAR: Achraf HakimiGoal confirmed

HT 1-2

  1. 55'Goal: Achraf Hakimi
  2. 62'Goal: Senny MayuluAssist: Achraf Hakimi
  3. 63'Substitution: Maghnes AklioucheOff: Lucas Beraldo
  4. Substitution: Sota NakamuraOff: Mbwana Ally Samatta65'
  5. Substitution: Amir RichardsonOff: Enzo Koffi65'
  6. Substitution: Rassoul NdiayeOff: Lamine N'Diaye65'
  7. 69'Goal: Achraf Hakimi
  8. 71'Substitution: Mika GodtsOff: Quentin Ndjantou
  9. 71'Substitution: Achraf HakimiOff: David Boly
  10. Substitution: Rayan FofanaOff: Hakim Dongopandji79'
  11. Substitution: Simon EbonogOff: Daren Mosengo83'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Paris Saint Germain to win

Bet365 1.22

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-5

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Le Havre10%
Fair odds 10.00
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Paris Saint Germain74%
Fair odds 1.35

Match statistics

  • 29%Possession71%
  • 1.54Expected goals (xG)3.09
  • 14Total shots15
  • 5Shots on target10
  • 5Shots off target2
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box11
  • 5Corners3
  • 3Offsides1
  • 14Fouls11
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves4
  • 303Passes776
  • 243Accurate passes710

Line-ups

Le Havre

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 16A. BodartG
  2. 15A. SekoD
  3. 6J. MwangaD
  4. 5A. ToubaD
  5. 20D. OuziadM
  6. 26S. EbonogM
  7. 7A. RichardsonM
  8. 97Lamine N'DiayeM
  9. 38R. FofanaM
  10. 30S. NakamuraM
  11. 9J. MajaF

Substitutes

  1. 24G. ZohouriM
  2. 14R. NdiayeM
  3. 93G. GallonG
  4. 33Hakim DongopandjiF
  5. 27E. Koffi VinetteF
  6. 17K. MizutaM
  7. 78D. MosengoM
  8. 25M. SamattaF
  9. 23V. SassoD

Coach: D. Digard

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 39M. SafonovG
  2. 2A. HakimiD
  3. 6I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 21L. HernándezD
  5. 12L. DigneD
  6. 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
  7. 11M. AklioucheM
  8. 27Pedro FernándezM
  9. 9Ferran TorresF
  10. 24Senny MayuluF
  11. 22M. GodtsF

Substitutes

  1. 30L. ChevalierG
  2. 14D. DouéF
  3. 87João NevesM
  4. 4BeraldoD
  5. 17VitinhaM
  6. 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
  7. 51W. PachoD
  8. 42D. BolyD
  9. 8Fabián RuizM

Coach: Luis Enrique

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.92 – 2.64
0.5 goalsOver97.1%Under2.9%
1.5 goalsOver87.0%Under13.0%
2.5 goalsOver69.0%Under31.0%
3.5 goalsOver47.6%Under52.4%
4.5 goalsOver28.6%Under71.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Le HavreParis Saint Germain
0%Form100%
38%Attack62%
27%Defence73%
50%Head to head50%
26%Expected goals74%
12%Overall88%

Last matches

Newest first
Le Havre0W 0D 2L · last 2
LMarseille vs Le Havre25 Oct 2026 · Ligue 14-3LLe Havre vs Auxerre18 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3
Paris Saint Germain4W 0D 0L · last 4
WParis Saint Germain vs Lyon26 Oct 2026 · Ligue 12-0WParis Saint Germain vs Barcelona20 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-2WStrasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3WManchester City vs Paris Saint Germain14 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-4

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Rennes9+116
4Monaco8+415
5Lyon8+614
6Paris FC8+414
7Nice9+114
8Lens9+313
9Marseille8+512
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse8+110
12Auxerre8-610
13Stade Brestois 298+29
14Angers8-68
15Estac Troyes9-98
16Strasbourg8-67
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2E. WahiNice86
3L. SinayokoParis FC86
4C. ArcherAuxerre65
5A. GouiriMarseille85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLe HavreParis Saint Germain
Played24
Wins04
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)23.3
Goals against (avg)3.51.3
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak04

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.52/24/4
Over 2.52/23/4
Over 3.52/23/4
BTTS – yes2/23/4

Match preview

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Océane, Le Havre, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Paris Saint Germain clear favourites, giving Le Havre a 10% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 74% for Paris Saint Germain. Our tip is: Paris Saint Germain to win.

Le Havre have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Paris Saint Germain have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Stade Océane, Le Havre

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain in the table?

Le Havre are 18th and Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain to win. Win probabilities: Le Havre 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 74%.

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

We estimate a 69% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Fri 30 Oct

FTNice 5-2 RennesX2 ✗FTLille 1-0 LensOver 1.5 ✗

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