Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Paris Saint Germain- Goal: Giovanni ReynaAssist: Gessime Yassine17'
HT 1-0
- 53'Substitution: Lucas DigneOff: Nuno Mendes
- 54'Substitution: Lucas BeraldoOff: Vitinha
- 54'Substitution: Dro FernándezOff: Désiré Doue
- Substitution: Fábio BaldéOff: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw60'
- 63'Substitution: Khvicha KvaratskheliaOff: Ousmane Dembélé
- 63'Substitution: Achraf HakimiOff: João Neves
- 70'VARVAR: Désiré DouePenalty confirmed
- 72'Missed penalty: Ousmane Dembélé
- Substitution: Pape Demba DiopOff: Samir El-Mourabet75'
- Yellow card: Conrad HarderFoul76'
- 77'Goal: Ilya ZabarnyiAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
- Yellow card: Dario EssugoFoul78'
- Substitution: Yaya DiemeOff: Gessime Yassine83'
- Substitution: Conrad HarderOff: Jacobo Ortega83'
- 85'Goal: Ousmane Dembélé
- 90+3'Goal: Désiré DoueAssist: Ferrán Torres
Our verdict
Paris Saint Germain to win
Bet365 1.40
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3
Win probability
Match statistics
- 27%Possession73%
- 1.02Expected goals (xG)2.66
- 16Total shots18
- 8Shots on target7
- 7Shots off target5
- 1Blocked shots6
- 13Shots inside the box14
- 3Corners6
- 2Offsides0
- 12Fouls6
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves7
- 245Passes673
- 193Accurate passes613
Line-ups
Strasbourg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1F. JörgensenG
- 16G. AntwiD
- 4J. MitchellD
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 36OsoD
- 14Dário EssugoM
- 21P. DiopM
- 80Gessime YassineM
- 10G. ReynaM
- 19Fabio Amadu Uri BaldéM
- 40C. HarderF
Substitutes
- 23Diogo SousaM
- 12M. PiekutowskiG
- 30J. OrtegaF
- 28Tyrese NoubissieM
- 24L. HøgsbergD
- 29S. El MourabetM
- 35Yaya DiemeF
- 43Y. BeckerD
- 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3Starting XI
- 39M. SafonovG
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 12L. DigneD
- 87João NevesM
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 4BeraldoM
- 11M. AklioucheF
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
Substitutes
- 17VitinhaM
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 51W. PachoD
- 25Nuno MendesD
- 2A. HakimiD
- 22M. GodtsF
- 14D. DouéF
- 10O. DembéléF
- 30L. ChevalierG
Coach: Luis Enrique
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.18 – 2.41Half time / full time result. 1 = Strasbourg, X = draw, 2 = Paris Saint Germain.
Asian handicap applied to Strasbourg.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstStrasbourg0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Paris Saint Germain1W 0D 0L · last 1Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. SinayokoParis FC | 9 | 8 |
| 2 |  E. LepaulRennes | 7 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. ArcherAuxerre | 7 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. GouiriMarseille | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  E. WahiNice | 8 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Strasbourg | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 4 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Strasbourg host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites, giving Strasbourg a 17% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 64% for Paris Saint Germain. Our tip is: Paris Saint Germain to win.
Paris Saint Germain have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 1
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Venue
- Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain in?
The match is in the France Ligue 1.
Where are Strasbourg and Paris Saint Germain in the table?
Strasbourg are 12th and Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Ligue 1.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain to win. Win probabilities: Strasbourg 17%, draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain 64%.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.