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Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain prediction for the Champions League on 14 Oct 2026: Manchester City or Paris Saint Germain (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday14October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 2
Manchester CityNo recent gamesParis Saint GermainNo recent games
2 - 4Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 0-3
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Match events

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain
  1. 13'Goal: Désiré DoueAssist: Fabián Ruiz
  2. 15'Goal: Ousmane DembéléAssist: Désiré Doue
  3. 32'Goal: VitinhaAssist: Warren Zaire-Emery
  4. Substitution: Jeremy DokuOff: Iliman Ndiaye45'
  5. Substitution: Matheus NunesOff: Rúben Dias45'
  6. Substitution: Rayan CherkiOff: Ayyoub Bouaddi45'

HT 0-3

  1. Goal: Erling HaalandAssist: Iliman Ndiaye53'
  2. Yellow card: Antoine SemenyoFoul61'
  3. 62'Goal: Maghnes AklioucheAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
  4. 66'Substitution: Désiré DoueOff: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  5. 69'Yellow card: Warren Zaire-EmeryFoul
  6. Goal: Erling HaalandAssist: Ayyoub Bouaddi75'
  7. 76'Substitution: Ousmane DembéléOff: Ferrán Torres
  8. 76'Substitution: Maghnes AklioucheOff: João Neves
  9. 84'Substitution: Warren Zaire-EmeryOff: Lucas Beraldo
  10. 84'Substitution: Lucas HernándezOff: Fabián Ruiz
  11. 90'Missed penalty: Ferrán Torres
  12. Substitution: Enzo FernándezOff: Nico O'Reilly90'

Our verdict

12 ✓

Manchester City or Paris Saint Germain

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-4

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Manchester City48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Paris Saint Germain29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 2.53Expected goals (xG)1.89
  • 27Total shots15
  • 9Shots on target10
  • 10Shots off target3
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 19Shots inside the box7
  • 11Corners2
  • 2Offsides0
  • 10Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves6
  • 491Passes438
  • 419Accurate passes369

Line-ups

Manchester City

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. DonnarummaG
  2. 45A. KhusanovD
  3. 3Rúben DiasD
  4. 6M. GuéhiD
  5. 24J. GvardiolD
  6. 5E. AndersonM
  7. 17E. FernándezM
  8. 42A. SemenyoM
  9. 10R. CherkiM
  10. 11J. DokuM
  11. 9E. HaalandF

Substitutes

  1. 21R. Aït-NouriD
  2. 37AllanF
  3. 13M. BettinelliG
  4. 32A. BouaddiM
  5. 47P. FodenM
  6. 8M. KovačićM
  7. 82R. LewisD
  8. 7I. NdiayeF
  9. 27Matheus NunesM
  10. 33N. O'ReillyD
  11. 28G. RulliG
  12. 22Vitor NunesD

Coach: E. Maresca

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 39M. SafonovG
  2. 2A. HakimiD
  3. 5MarquinhosD
  4. 51W. PachoD
  5. 25Nuno MendesD
  6. 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
  7. 17VitinhaM
  8. 8Fabián RuizM
  9. 11M. AklioucheF
  10. 10O. DembéléF
  11. 14D. DouéF

Substitutes

  1. 12L. DigneD
  2. 27Pedro FernándezM
  3. 22M. GodtsF
  4. 21L. HernándezD
  5. 7K. KvaratskheliaF
  6. 47Quentin Ndjantou MbitchaF
  7. 87João NevesM
  8. 9Ferran TorresF
  9. 6I. ZabarnyiD
  10. 80Adam MouakG
  11. 4BeraldoD
  12. 30L. ChevalierG

Coach: Luis Enrique

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.03 – 1.56
0.5 goalsOver97.2%Under2.8%
1.5 goalsOver87.3%Under12.7%
2.5 goalsOver69.5%Under30.5%
3.5 goalsOver48.3%Under51.7%
4.5 goalsOver29.2%Under70.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first
Manchester City0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Paris Saint Germain0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatManchester CityParis Saint Germain
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Manchester City host Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Etihad Stadium, Manchester, with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Manchester City slight favourites, giving Manchester City a 48% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 29% for Paris Saint Germain. Our tip is: Manchester City or Paris Saint Germain.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 69% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?

Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Manchester City and Paris Saint Germain in the table?

Manchester City are 10th and Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Champions League.

Who will win Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our prediction is Manchester City or Paris Saint Germain. Win probabilities: Manchester City 48%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 29%.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?

We estimate a 69% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?

We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 14 Oct

FTLask Linz 3-6 Liverpool2 ✓FTFeyenoord 3-2 Como12 ✓FTSlovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart2 ✓FTAS Roma 3-4 Real MadridX2 ✓FTBodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia DortmundX2 ✗FTShakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens FCOver 1.5 ✓FTAston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe12 ✓FTReal Betis 3-2 FC PortoOver 1.5 ✓

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