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TodaysPrediction

Villarreal vs Napoli prediction

Villarreal vs Napoli prediction for the Champions League on 13 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (81%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 2BANKER
VillarrealNo recent gamesNapoliNo recent games
3 - 1Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 2-1
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Match events

VillarrealNapoli
  1. 8'Goal: A. Rrahmani
  2. Goal: G. Mikautadze23'
  3. Goal: S. MourinoAssist: G. Moreno26'
  4. Yellow card: Georges MikautadzeFoul33'

HT 2-1

  1. 55'Yellow card: GiovaneFoul
  2. 60'Substitution: N. LangOff: Giovane
  3. 60'Substitution: David NeresOff: M. Politano
  4. 61'Substitution: L. SpinazzolaOff: S. McTominay
  5. 62'Yellow card: Kevin De BruyneFoul
  6. Substitution: T. OluwaseyiOff: G. Moreno63'
  7. Substitution: A. FreemanOff: G. Mikautadze64'
  8. Yellow card: Nathan-Dylan SalibaArgument67'
  9. Substitution: J. FoythOff: A. Moleiro68'
  10. 72'Substitution: S. LobotkaOff: B. Gilmour
  11. 73'Substitution: L. LuccaOff: R. Marin
  12. Substitution: A. PerezOff: S. Comesana83'
  13. Substitution: S. CardonaOff: P. Gueye84'
  14. 85'Yellow card: Giovanni Di LorenzoFoul
  15. Goal: T. OluwaseyiAssist: A. Perez86'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

81%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Villarreal45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Napoli30%
Fair odds 3.33

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.24Expected goals (xG)1.70
  • 16Total shots11
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target6
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box10
  • 4Corners4
  • 3Offsides3
  • 8Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 493Passes444
  • 418Accurate passes369
  • 85%Pass accuracy83%

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Luiz JuniorG
  2. 15S. MourinoD
  3. 6P. NavarroD
  4. 12R. VeigaD
  5. 20C. RomeroD
  6. 24N. SalibaM
  7. 14S. ComesanaM
  8. 18P. GueyeM
  9. 10A. MoleiroM
  10. 7G. MorenoF
  11. 9G. MikautadzeF

Substitutes

  1. 13R. GomezG
  2. 8J. FoythD
  3. 2L. CostaD
  4. 23S. CardonaD
  5. 3A. FreemanD
  6. 5A. DiattaM
  7. 16C. MaciaM
  8. 11I. AkhomachF
  9. 27N. El JmiliF
  10. 22A. PerezF
  11. 21T. OluwaseyiF
  12. 28J. GaitanF

Coach: Inigo Perez

Napoli

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 32V. Milinkovic-SavicG
  2. 16R. MarinD
  3. 13A. RrahmaniD
  4. 5B. BadiashileD
  5. 21M. PolitanoM
  6. 6B. GilmourM
  7. 8S. McTominayM
  8. 22G. Di LorenzoM
  9. 11K. De BruyneF
  10. 23GiovaneF
  11. 19R. HojlundF

Substitutes

  1. 1A. MeretG
  2. 14N. ContiniG
  3. 31S. BeukemaD
  4. 37L. SpinazzolaD
  5. 68S. LobotkaM
  6. 70N. LangF
  7. 7David NeresF
  8. 20L. LuccaF

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.33
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.2%Under19.8%
2.5 goalsOver57.9%Under42.1%
3.5 goalsOver35.5%Under64.5%
4.5 goalsOver18.6%Under81.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VillarrealNapoli
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
60%Overall40%

Last matches

Newest first
Villarreal0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Napoli0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVillarrealNapoli
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Villarreal host Napoli in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Villarreal slight favourites, giving Villarreal a 45% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 30% for Napoli. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Villarreal vs Napoli?

Villarreal vs Napoli kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Villarreal vs Napoli in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Villarreal and Napoli in the table?

Villarreal are 19th and Napoli are 22nd in the Champions League.

Who will win Villarreal vs Napoli?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Villarreal 45%, draw 25%, Napoli 30%.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Napoli?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Napoli?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 13 Oct

FTSabah FA 2-0 Slavia Praha12 ✓FTLens 0-2 Sporting CP12 ✓FTInter 3-4 Club Brugge KV1 ✗FTArsenal 3-0 Lille1 ✓FTAtletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTGalatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaOver 2.5 ✓FTRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven1 ✓FTViking 3-3 Bayern MünchenGG ✓

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