La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Elche- 28'Substitution: Federico Redondo SolariOff: Marc Aguado
- 38'Yellow card: Gonzalo VillarFoul
HT 0-0
- 63'VARVAR: Roy RevivoPenalty cancelled
- 65'Substitution: Lucas CepedaOff: Tete Morente
- 65'Substitution: Thomas LemarOff: Martim Neto
- 65'Substitution: Abiel Alessio OsorioOff: Fernando Niño Rodríguez
- Substitution: Tani OluwaseyiOff: Pape Gueye66'
- Substitution: Carlos MaciàOff: Nathan-Dylan Saliba66'
- Substitution: Georges MikautadzeOff: Santi Comesaña66'
- 71'Yellow card: Tete MorenteFoul
- 75'Yellow card: Roy RevivoFoul
- Substitution: Ilias Akhomach ChakkourOff: Gerard Moreno75'
- Yellow card: Alex FreemanFoul81'
- 83'Substitution: Ruben Sanchez SaezOff: Buba Sangaré
- Substitution: Nizar El JmiliOff: Ayoze Pérez84'
- 90+1'Yellow card: Víctor ChustArgument
- Yellow card: Juan FoythArgument90+1'
Our verdict
Villarreal to win
Bet365 1.45
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 58%Possession42%
- 2.22Expected goals (xG)0.30
- 20Total shots7
- 7Shots on target1
- 5Shots off target5
- 8Blocked shots1
- 16Shots inside the box1
- 10Corners5
- 6Offsides0
- 12Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves6
- 524Passes388
- 454Accurate passes311
Line-ups
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 25P. GulácsiG
- 3A. FreemanD
- 8J. FoythD
- 2Logan CostaD
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 11Ilias AkhomachM
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 16C. MaciaM
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
Substitutes
- 18P. GueyeM
- 27N. El JmiliF
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 20Carlos RomeroD
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 24N. SalibaM
- 5A. DiattaM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 28Joselillo GaitánF
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Elche
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 2Buba SangaréD
- 47J. MorcilloD
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 3R. RevivoD
- 11Germán ValeraD
- 12Gonzalo VillarM
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 18T. LemarM
- 24A. OsorioF
- 21L. CepedaF
Substitutes
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 13Alejandro IturbeG
- 17JosanM
- 15K. LomónacoD
- 16Martim NetoM
- 14Fer NiñoF
- 9E. PonceF
- 5F. RedondoM
- 22Rubén SánchezD
- 20Tete MorenteF
- 6BigasD
- 29Ali HouaryF
Coach: M. Anselmi
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.07Half time / full time result. 1 = Villarreal, X = draw, 2 = Elche.
Asian handicap applied to Villarreal.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstVillarreal1W 0D 0L · last 1Elche0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 10 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | WLDDW |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RaphinhaBarcelona | 9 | 13 |
| 2 |  Kylian MbappéReal Madrid | 10 | 11 |
| 3 |  M. ZabiriRacing Santander | 10 | 8 |
| 4 |  Lamine YamalBarcelona | 10 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 10 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Villarreal | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Villarreal host Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Villarreal clear favourites, giving Villarreal a 65% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 16% for Elche. Our tip is: Villarreal to win.
Villarreal have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Spain La Liga
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:15 WAT
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal vs Elche kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Villarreal vs Elche in?
The match is in the Spain La Liga.
Where are Villarreal and Elche in the table?
Villarreal are 8th and Elche are 16th in the La Liga.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Our prediction is Villarreal to win. Win probabilities: Villarreal 65%, draw 19%, Elche 16%.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Elche?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Elche?
We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.