Our verdict
Atletico Madrid or Bayern München
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.95Half time / full time result. 1 = Atletico Madrid, X = draw, 2 = Bayern München.
Asian handicap applied to Atletico Madrid.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
Atletico Madrid3W 1D 0L · last 4
Bayern München3W 3D 0L · last 6Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Atletico Madrid | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 6 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 3.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 6 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/4 | 6/6 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/4 | 6/6 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/4 | 6/6 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/4 | 6/6 |
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Bayern München in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, with kick-off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bayern München slight favourites, giving Atletico Madrid a 31% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 46% for Bayern München. Our tip is: Atletico Madrid or Bayern München.
Atletico Madrid have taken 10 points from their last 4 games (3W 1D 0L). Bayern München have taken 11 points from their last 5 games (3W 2D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München kicks off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are Atletico Madrid and Bayern München in the table?
Atletico Madrid are 16th and Bayern München are 14th in the Champions League.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
Our prediction is Atletico Madrid or Bayern München. Win probabilities: Atletico Madrid 31%, draw 23%, Bayern München 46%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.