Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.61Half time / full time result. 1 = Shakhtar Donetsk, X = draw, 2 = Sporting CP.
Asian handicap applied to Shakhtar Donetsk.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstChampions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 4 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | |
| 5 | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Shakhtar Donetsk | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/2 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/2 | 2/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/2 | 1/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/2 | 2/4 |
Match preview
Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Stamford Bridge, London, with kick-off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sporting CP slight favourites, giving Shakhtar Donetsk a 28% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 46% for Sporting CP. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Sporting CP have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP kicks off on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP in the table?
Shakhtar Donetsk are 17th and Sporting CP are 12th in the Champions League.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Shakhtar Donetsk 28%, draw 26%, Sporting CP 46%.
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

