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TodaysPrediction

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction for the A Lyga on 19 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Suduva MarijampoleNo recent gamesKauno Žalgiris
0 - 1Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 0-0
Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole

Match events

Suduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
  1. Yellow card: M. Chajia22'

HT 0-0

  1. 51'Yellow card: V. Slivka
  2. Yellow card: S. Lawson55'
  3. 58'Substitution: M. BurbaOff: F. Ourega
  4. 67'Substitution: L. I. KastratiOff: N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
  5. 67'Substitution: M. KonatarOff: J. Moutachy
  6. Substitution: F. SteponaviciusOff: O. Haydary70'
  7. Substitution: I. SeckOff: Y. Omori70'
  8. 82'Substitution: G. DebeljuhOff: G. Sirgedas
  9. 82'Substitution: L. KrekovicOff: Renan Oliveira
  10. Substitution: M. ChajiaOff: M. Mikulenas83'
  11. Substitution: T. MilasiusOff: A. Zivanovic87'
  12. 90+3'Goal: Renan Oliveira
  13. 90+4'Yellow card: A. Kalik

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Suduva Marijampole24%
Fair odds 4.17
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Kauno Žalgiris49%
Fair odds 2.04

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.95 – 1.48
0.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
1.5 goalsOver69.8%Under30.2%
2.5 goalsOver43.8%Under56.2%
3.5 goalsOver22.8%Under77.2%
4.5 goalsOver10.0%Under90.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Suduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
95%Defence5%
50%Head to head50%
39%Expected goals61%
33%Overall67%

Last matches

Newest first

A Lyga table

A Lyga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Kauno Žalgiris2+14
2TransINVEST Vilnius1+23
3Džiugas Telšiai1+13
4Banga101
5FK Zalgiris Vilnius101
6Šiauliai101
7Panevėžys1-10
8Suduva Marijampole1-10
9Hegelmann Litauen1-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)04
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/01/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Suduva Marijampole host Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga (Regular Season - 33) at Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 16:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Kauno Žalgiris slight favourites, giving Suduva Marijampole a 24% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 49% for Kauno Žalgiris. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

Kauno Žalgiris have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Lithuania A Lyga
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 16:45 WAT
Venue
Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 16:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris in?

The match is in the Lithuania A Lyga.

Where are Suduva Marijampole and Kauno Žalgiris in the table?

Suduva Marijampole are 8th and Kauno Žalgiris are 1st in the A Lyga.

Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Suduva Marijampole 24%, draw 27%, Kauno Žalgiris 49%.

Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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