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Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction for the Conference League on 15 Oct 2026: NG (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Thursday15October 2026
Amex Stadium, Brighton

Match events

BrightonKauno Žalgiris
  1. 12'Yellow card: F. OuregaFoul
  2. Goal: G. RutterAssist: I. Osman41'
  3. Goal: J. HinshelwoodAssist: G. Rutter45+2'

HT 2-0

  1. Substitution: L. DunkOff: L. Vuskovic46'
  2. Substitution: O. BoscagliOff: M. De Cuyper46'
  3. 46'Substitution: Leo RibeiroOff: L. Krekovic
  4. 46'Substitution: F. OuregaOff: R. Lekiatas
  5. Goal: G. RutterAssist: I. Osman53'
  6. Substitution: P. GrossOff: Y. Ayari57'
  7. Substitution: J. HinshelwoodOff: P. David57'
  8. 57'Substitution: F. BaldassarraOff: A. Kalik
  9. 57'Substitution: G. DebeljuhOff: Renan Oliveira
  10. 61'Substitution: A. BenchaibOff: V. Slivka
  11. Substitution: I. OsmanOff: Y. Ibrahim67'
  12. Goal: M. O'RileyAssist: Y. Ibrahim67'

Our verdict

NG ✓

NG

Bet365 1.20

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals4.2

Win probability

1 · Brighton93%
Fair odds 1.08
X · Draw6%
Fair odds 16.67
2 · Kauno Žalgiris1%
Fair odds 100.00

Match statistics

  • 80%Possession20%
  • 4.09Expected goals (xG)0.02
  • 36Total shots3
  • 9Shots on target1
  • 15Shots off target2
  • 12Blocked shots0
  • 28Shots inside the box2
  • 13Corners0
  • 10Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 675Passes184
  • 623Accurate passes114
  • 92%Pass accuracy62%

Line-ups

Brighton

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Bart VerbruggenG
  2. 20CostinhaD
  3. 5Lewis DunkD
  4. 30Michael SvobodaD
  5. 21Olivier BoscagliD
  6. 13Pascal GroßM
  7. 35Malick YalcouyéM
  8. 8Jack HinshelwoodM
  9. 33Matt O'RileyF
  10. 10Georginio RutterF
  11. 15Ibrahim OsmanF

Substitutes

  1. 29Maxim De CuyperD
  2. 44Luka VuškovićD
  3. 26Yasin AyariM
  4. 12Promise DavidF
  5. 59Younes IbrahimM
  6. 38Tom McGillG
  7. 23Jason SteeleG
  8. 24Ferdi KadıoğluD
  9. 25Diego GómezM
  10. 14Chema AndrésM
  11. 50Shane NtiM
  12. 19Charalampos KostoulasF

Kauno Žalgiris

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 55Tomas ŠvedkauskasG
  2. 45Joris MoutachyD
  3. 3Anton TolordavaD
  4. 23Aldayr HernándezD
  5. 37Nosa Iyobosa EdokpolorD
  6. 32Franco BaldassarraM
  7. 70Fabien OuregaM
  8. 7Amine BenchaibM
  9. 8Yukiyoshi KarashimaM
  10. 15Léo RibeiroM
  11. 19Renan OliveiraF

Substitutes

  1. 77Rokas LekiatasD
  2. 9Leon KrekovićF
  3. 20Anthony KalikM
  4. 27Gabriel DebeljuhF
  5. 14Vykintas SlivkaM
  6. 22Deividas MikelionisG
  7. 33Marko KonatarD
  8. 62Lirim KastratiD
  9. 17Ivan FiolićM
  10. 10Gratas SirgėdasM
  11. 24Motiejus BurbaF

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.79 – 0.44
0.5 goalsOver98.4%Under1.6%
1.5 goalsOver92.2%Under7.8%
2.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
3.5 goalsOver60.8%Under39.2%
4.5 goalsOver41.4%Under58.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BrightonKauno Žalgiris
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
90%Expected goals10%
99%Overall1%

Last matches

Newest first
Brighton0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Kauno Žalgiris0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBrightonKauno Žalgiris
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Brighton host Kauno Žalgiris in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at Amex Stadium, Brighton, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Brighton clear favourites, giving Brighton a 93% chance of winning, 6% for the draw and 1% for Kauno Žalgiris. Our tip is: NG.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 79% chance of over 2.5 and a 35% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Amex Stadium, Brighton

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris in the table?

Brighton are 9th and Kauno Žalgiris are 36th in the Conference League.

Who will win Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our prediction is NG. Win probabilities: Brighton 93%, draw 6%, Kauno Žalgiris 1%.

Will both teams score in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We estimate a 35% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We estimate a 79% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 15 Oct

FTRiga 1-1 Kairat Almaty1X ✓FTCSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco2 ✓FTUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 GetafeX2 ✓FTMjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes1 ✓FTPanathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja Luka1 ✓FTGent 1-0 Aarhus1 ✓FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland2 ✗FTKuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor2 ✓FTHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax2 ✗FTFC Lugano 3-2 FK Crvena ZvezdaOver 1.5 ✓FTSt. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 19991 ✓FTTwente 1-0 FC ThunOver 2.5 ✗FTAtalanta 3-1 Pafos1 ✓FTBrann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCOver 2.5 ✓FTSC Freiburg 3-2 FK JablonecUnder 3.5 ✗FTHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandX2 ✓FTFC Copenhagen 3-0 SC BragaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today