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Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction for the Super League 1 on 18 Oct 2026: Panathinaikos to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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PanathinaikosAsteras TripolisNo recent games
5 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 2-0
Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens

Match events

PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
  1. Substitution: Azzedine OunahiOff: Andrews Tetteh19'
  2. Goal: Stefan de VrijAssist: Kings Kangwa27'
  3. Goal: Imrân Louza31'
  4. Substitution: Levi GarcíaOff: Vicente Taborda45'
  5. 45'Substitution: Kalvin KetuOff: Antonis Papakanellos

HT 2-0

  1. 60'Goal: Antonis PapakanellosAssist: Konstantinos Chrysopoulos
  2. 61'Substitution: Julián ChiccoOff: Giannis Bouzoukis
  3. 61'Substitution: Dimitrios KourbelisOff: Eder González
  4. Goal: Cyriel DessersAssist: Imrân Louza62'
  5. VAR: Cyriel DessersGoal confirmedVAR62'
  6. Substitution: Kings KangwaOff: Elmin Rastoder68'
  7. Substitution: Cyriel DessersOff: Pedro Chirivella68'
  8. 71'Substitution: Dimitrios LaskarisOff: Franco Orozco
  9. Goal: Davide CalabriaAssist: Pedro Chirivella72'
  10. Substitution: Adriano JagusicOff: Santino Andino77'
  11. 79'Substitution: Federico MachedaOff: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
  12. Goal: Andrews TettehAssist: Imrân Louza83'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Panathinaikos to win

Bet365 1.25

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Panathinaikos74%
Fair odds 1.35
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Asteras Tripolis9%
Fair odds 11.11

Match statistics

  • 72%Possession28%
  • 5.69Expected goals (xG)0.91
  • 27Total shots5
  • 8Shots on target1
  • 10Shots off target4
  • 9Blocked shots0
  • 17Shots inside the box4
  • 9Corners1
  • 2Offsides2
  • 10Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves2
  • 631Passes247
  • 569Accurate passes172

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Iñaki PeñaG
  2. 2D. CalabriaD
  3. 6S. de VrijD
  4. 55R. van DrongelenD
  5. 5A. Salah-EddineD
  6. 42K. KangwaM
  7. 26I. LouzaM
  8. 99L. GarcíaM
  9. 21A. OunahiM
  10. 10Santino AndinoM
  11. 9C. DessersF

Substitutes

  1. 8Adriano JagušićM
  2. 4Pedro ChirivellaM
  3. 70K. KotsarisG
  4. 7A. TettehF
  5. 19T. TsaprasM
  6. 20V. TabordaF
  7. 12L. ChavesG
  8. 77G. KiriakopoulosD
  9. 18S. KontourisM
  10. 14E. Palmer-BrownD
  11. 28F. PellistriM
  12. 74E. RastoderF

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Asteras Tripolis

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1N. PapadopoulosG
  2. 74D. LaskarisD
  3. 16F. BrorssonD
  4. 6K. ChrisopoulosD
  5. 27G. KotsirasM
  6. 10Eder GonzálezM
  7. 14J. ChiccoM
  8. 28Alex MéndezM
  9. 7J. BartoloF
  10. 9F. MachedaF
  11. 11K. KetuF

Substitutes

  1. 8I. BouzoukisM
  2. 61V. ChatziemmanouilG
  3. 64P. DeligiannidisD
  4. 20N. KaltsasF
  5. 21D. KourbelisM
  6. 51Giannis KriarasG
  7. 75B. Mbunga KimpiokaF
  8. 19F. OrozcoM
  9. 44A. PapakanellosM
  10. 17A. TereziouF
  11. 39RicardinhoF
  12. 66Matias ZoguM

Coach: G. Antonopoulos

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.27 – 0.65
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.9%Under21.1%
2.5 goalsOver55.9%Under44.1%
3.5 goalsOver33.5%Under66.5%
4.5 goalsOver17.1%Under82.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
78%Expected goals22%
89%Overall11%

Last matches

Newest first

Super League 1 table

Super League 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
11Levadiakos9-86
12Asteras Tripolis9-96
13Atromitos7-62
14Volos NFC8-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Super League 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jota SilvaOlympiakos Piraeus95
2B. VargaAEK Athens FC55
3A. TettehPanathinaikos84
4FabianoAris Thessalonikis74
5D. KurminowskiKalamata44

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Panathinaikos host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Panathinaikos clear favourites, giving Panathinaikos a 74% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 9% for Asteras Tripolis. Our tip is: Panathinaikos to win.

Panathinaikos have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Greece Super League 1
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis in?

The match is in the Greece Super League 1.

Where are Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis in the table?

Panathinaikos are 1st and Asteras Tripolis are 12th in the Super League 1.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our prediction is Panathinaikos to win. Win probabilities: Panathinaikos 74%, draw 17%, Asteras Tripolis 9%.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Super League 1 on Sun 18 Oct

FTKalamata 4-3 OFIUnder 3.5 ✗FTPanetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus2 ✓FTKifisia 1-2 Aris ThessalonikisX2 ✓FTPAOK 2-1 Iraklis 19081 ✓

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