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Real Betis vs Barcelona prediction

Real Betis vs Barcelona prediction for the La Liga on 17 Oct 2026: Barcelona to win (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Real BetisBarcelona
2 - 5Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-2
Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Match events

Real BetisBarcelona
  1. 10'Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: Jules Koundé
  2. 20'Yellow card: Fermín LópezFoul
  3. Yellow card: Héctor BellerínFoul22'
  4. Goal: Diego Valentín GómezAssist: Pablo Fornals27'
  5. 41'Goal: Rodrigo Hernandez CascanteAssist: Fermín López
  6. VAR: Giovani Lo CelsoGoal cancelledVAR45'
  7. Yellow card: Manuel Luis Pellegrini RipamontiDissent45'
  8. 45'Substitution: Eric GarcíaOff: Gerard Martín
  9. Substitution: Nelson DeossaOff: Dani Ceballos45'

HT 1-2

  1. 51'Goal: Gabriel JesusAssist: Lamine Yamal
  2. Goal: Abde EzzalzouliAssist: Giovani Lo Celso53'
  3. Red card: Facundo BernalViolent Conduct54'
  4. 55'Yellow card: Lamine YamalArgument
  5. Yellow card: Diego LlorenteFoul61'
  6. 62'Goal: Eric GarcíaAssist: Pau Cubarsí
  7. 62'Substitution: Karim AdeyemiOff: Anthony Gordon
  8. 62'Substitution: Fermín LópezOff: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
  9. Substitution: Giovani Lo CelsoOff: Rodrigo Riquelme64'
  10. Substitution: Cucho HernándezOff: Troy Parrott64'
  11. Substitution: Álvaro FidalgoOff: Pablo Fornals70'
  12. Substitution: Ángel OrtizOff: Héctor Bellerín70'
  13. 70'Substitution: Raphael Dias BelloliOff: Lamine Yamal
  14. 79'Substitution: Pablo Martín Páez GaviraOff: Gabriel Jesus
  15. 81'Goal: Daniel Olmo CarvajalAssist: Pau Cubarsí

Our verdict

2 ✓

Barcelona to win

Bet365 1.42

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-5

Expected goals3.9

Win probability

1 · Real Betis18%
Fair odds 5.56
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Barcelona64%
Fair odds 1.56

Match statistics

  • 31%Possession69%
  • 1.02Expected goals (xG)3.04
  • 6Total shots18
  • 5Shots on target10
  • 0Shots off target6
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 3Shots inside the box8
  • 2Corners5
  • 1Offsides2
  • 10Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 324Passes750
  • 256Accurate passes692

Line-ups

Real Betis

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Álvaro VallésG
  2. 2Héctor BellerínD
  3. 3Diego LlorenteD
  4. 16V. GómezD
  5. 11Fran GarcíaD
  6. 6F. BernalM
  7. 25Dani CeballosM
  8. 20G. Lo CelsoM
  9. 8Pablo FornalsM
  10. 10A. EzzalzouliM
  11. 9C. HernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 5Marc BartraD
  2. 21Marc RocaM
  3. 13Diego CondeG
  4. 18N. DeossaM
  5. 15Álvaro FidalgoM
  6. 22IscoM
  7. 27J. A. MoranteF
  8. 4NatanD
  9. 12Ángel OrtizD
  10. 19T. ParrottF
  11. 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
  12. 7AntonyF

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Barcelona

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Joan GarcíaG
  2. 23J. KoundéD
  3. 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
  4. 18Gerard MartínD
  5. 12X. EspartD
  6. 16RodriM
  7. 8PedriM
  8. 10Lamine YamalM
  9. 7FermínM
  10. 14K. AdeyemiM
  11. 9Gabriel JesusF

Substitutes

  1. 4B. FarinasM
  2. 3Alejandro BaldeD
  3. 22Marc BernalM
  4. 2João CanceloD
  5. 21F. de JongM
  6. 24Eric GarcíaD
  7. 6GaviM
  8. 17A. GordonF
  9. 25D. LivakovićG
  10. 20Dani OlmoM
  11. 11RaphinhaF
  12. 13W. SzczęsnyG

Coach: H. Flick

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.33 – 2.56
0.5 goalsOver97.9%Under2.1%
1.5 goalsOver90.0%Under10.0%
2.5 goalsOver74.5%Under25.5%
3.5 goalsOver54.5%Under45.5%
4.5 goalsOver35.0%Under65.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Real BetisBarcelona
50%Form50%
43%Attack57%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
34%Expected goals66%
22%Overall78%

Last matches

Newest first

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1011
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander108
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatReal BetisBarcelona
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)34
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Real Betis host Barcelona in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Barcelona favourites, giving Real Betis a 18% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 64% for Barcelona. Our tip is: Barcelona to win.

Real Betis have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Barcelona have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Real Betis vs Barcelona kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Real Betis vs Barcelona in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Real Betis and Barcelona in the table?

Real Betis are 4th and Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga.

Who will win Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Our prediction is Barcelona to win. Win probabilities: Real Betis 18%, draw 18%, Barcelona 64%.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

We estimate a 74% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sat 17 Oct

FTEspanyol 0-1 Atletico MadridOver 1.5 ✗FTVillarreal 0-0 Elche1 ✗FTValencia 0-0 Athletic ClubX2 ✓

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