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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe prediction

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe prediction for the Champions League on 14 Oct 2026: Aston Villa or Fenerbahçe (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Wednesday14October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 2
Aston VillaNo recent gamesFenerbahçeNo recent games
6 - 0Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 3-0
Villa Park, Birmingham

Match events

Aston VillaFenerbahçe
  1. Goal: Johan Manzambi12'
  2. Goal: Nicolas JacksonAssist: Boubacar Kamara31'
  3. Goal: Nicolas JacksonAssist: Ross Barkley39'
  4. 42'Yellow card: Mattéo GuendouziFoul

HT 3-0

  1. Penalty goal: Ross Barkley (pen)68'
  2. 69'Substitution: Ismail YüksekOff: Bartuğ Elmaz
  3. 69'Substitution: Vedat MuriqiOff: Romelu Lukaku
  4. 69'Substitution: Mason GreenwoodOff: Nene Dorgeles
  5. Goal: Ross BarkleyAssist: Ibrahim Mbaye72'
  6. Substitution: Boubacar KamaraOff: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha73'
  7. Substitution: Johan ManzambiOff: João Gomes73'
  8. 78'Yellow card: Oğuz AydınFoul
  9. Substitution: Nicolas JacksonOff: Tammy Abraham78'
  10. Substitution: Ibrahim MbayeOff: Alejandro Garnacho79'
  11. Substitution: Ross BarkleyOff: Leon Goretzka83'
  12. Goal: Tammy AbrahamAssist: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha90'

Our verdict

12 ✓

Aston Villa or Fenerbahçe

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-0

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Aston Villa52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Fenerbahçe24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 2.26Expected goals (xG)2.04
  • 20Total shots15
  • 11Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots6
  • 11Shots inside the box7
  • 9Corners7
  • 1Offsides3
  • 12Fouls6
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves5
  • 389Passes470
  • 350Accurate passes425

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 2M. CashD
  3. 3V. LindelöfD
  4. 14Pau TorresD
  5. 29A. Wan-BissakaD
  6. 8B. KamaraM
  7. 6R. BarkleyM
  8. 7J. McGinnM
  9. 44J. ManzambiM
  10. 19I. MbayeM
  11. 11N. JacksonF

Substitutes

  1. 18T. AbrahamF
  2. 10E. BuendíaM
  3. 17A. GarnachoF
  4. 35João GomesM
  5. 27L. GoretzkaM
  6. 5T. MingsD
  7. 42J. WrightG
  8. 47Alysson EdwardF
  9. 26L. BogardeM
  10. 40M. BizotG

Coach: Unai Emery

Fenerbahçe

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31EdersonG
  2. 27Nélson SemedoD
  3. 37M. ŠkriniarD
  4. 15N. AkéD
  5. 3A. BrownD
  6. 5İ. YüksekM
  7. 6M. GuendouziM
  8. 11M. GreenwoodM
  9. 17İ. KahveciM
  10. 70O. AydınM
  11. 19V. MuriqiF

Substitutes

  1. 13T. ÇetinG
  2. 14Y. DemirD
  3. 28B. ElmazM
  4. 34M. GünokG
  5. 91N. KantéM
  6. 9R. LukakuF
  7. 22L. MercanD
  8. 77O. MimovićD
  9. 45N. DorgelesF
  10. 21K. Peprah OppongD
  11. 7K. AktürkoğluF

Coach: İ. Kartal

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.17
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.6%Under20.4%
2.5 goalsOver57.0%Under43.0%
3.5 goalsOver34.6%Under65.4%
4.5 goalsOver18.0%Under82.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Aston VillaFenerbahçe
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Aston Villa0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Fenerbahçe0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAston VillaFenerbahçe
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Villa Park, Birmingham, with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Aston Villa favourites, giving Aston Villa a 52% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 24% for Fenerbahçe. Our tip is: Aston Villa or Fenerbahçe.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe in the table?

Aston Villa are 2nd and Fenerbahçe are 31st in the Champions League.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Our prediction is Aston Villa or Fenerbahçe. Win probabilities: Aston Villa 52%, draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 24%.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 14 Oct

FTLask Linz 3-6 Liverpool2 ✓FTFeyenoord 3-2 Como12 ✓FTSlovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart2 ✓FTAS Roma 3-4 Real MadridX2 ✓FTBodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia DortmundX2 ✗FTManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain12 ✓FTShakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens FCOver 1.5 ✓FTReal Betis 3-2 FC PortoOver 1.5 ✓

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