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Aston Villa vs Viking prediction

Aston Villa vs Viking prediction for the Champions League on 21 Oct 2026: Aston Villa to win (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
Aston VillaViking
3 - 1Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 2-0
Villa Park, Birmingham

Match events

Aston VillaViking
  1. Goal: Ross BarkleyAssist: Ibrahim Mbaye23'
  2. VAR: Alysson Edward Franco da RochaPenalty confirmedVAR35'
  3. Penalty goal: Emiliano Buendía (pen)37'

HT 2-0

  1. Own goal: Henrik Heggheim (og)62'
  2. 63'Substitution: Tobias MoiOff: Henrik Bjørdal
  3. 63'Substitution: Erik BotheimOff: Simen Kvia Egeskog
  4. Substitution: Matty CashOff: João Gomes70'
  5. Substitution: Nicolas JacksonOff: Tammy Abraham70'
  6. Substitution: Ross BarkleyOff: Leon Goretzka70'
  7. Substitution: Ibrahim MbayeOff: Alejandro Garnacho72'
  8. 75'Substitution: Zlatko TripićOff: Vetle Auklend
  9. 75'Substitution: Jesper DalandOff: Amin Cosic
  10. Substitution: Alysson Edward Franco da RochaOff: George Hemmings75'
  11. 84'Goal: Peter ChristiansenAssist: Kristoffer Askildsen
  12. 86'Substitution: Herman HaugenOff: Essien Bassey
  13. 86'VARVAR: Kristoffer AskildsenGoal confirmed

Our verdict

1 ✓

Aston Villa to win

Bet365 1.22

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Aston Villa70%
Fair odds 1.43
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Viking13%
Fair odds 7.69

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 2.78Expected goals (xG)0.80
  • 21Total shots10
  • 10Shots on target3
  • 7Shots off target0
  • 4Blocked shots7
  • 17Shots inside the box4
  • 8Corners6
  • 2Offsides3
  • 7Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves8
  • 529Passes433
  • 471Accurate passes377

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 35João GomesD
  3. 3V. LindelöfD
  4. 14Pau TorresD
  5. 5T. MingsD
  6. 7J. McGinnM
  7. 6R. BarkleyM
  8. 47Alysson EdwardM
  9. 10E. BuendíaM
  10. 19I. MbayeM
  11. 11N. JacksonF

Substitutes

  1. 40M. BizotG
  2. 26L. BogardeM
  3. 2M. CashD
  4. 17A. GarnachoF
  5. 27L. GoretzkaM
  6. 4T. Harwood-BellisD
  7. 53George HemmingsM
  8. 8B. KamaraM
  9. 22I. MaatsenD
  10. 42J. WrightG
  11. 18T. AbrahamF

Coach: Unai Emery

Viking

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1A. ØstbøG
  2. 2H. HaugenD
  3. 6G. StensnessD
  4. 27J. DalandD
  5. 5H. HeggheimD
  6. 29T. MoiM
  7. 8J. BellM
  8. 7K. AskildsenM
  9. 20P. ChristiansenF
  10. 22E. BotheimF
  11. 10Z. TripićF

Substitutes

  1. 24Vetle AuklendD
  2. 17E. BasseyD
  3. 30Ľ. BelkoG
  4. 16H. BjørdalM
  5. 19A. CosicF
  6. 28K. HaugenD
  7. 3V. VevatneD
  8. 23N. FuglestadF
  9. 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  10. 11R. PostemaF
  11. 33J. HansenM
  12. 25H. FalchenerD

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.53 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver97.1%Under2.9%
1.5 goalsOver86.9%Under13.1%
2.5 goalsOver68.8%Under31.2%
3.5 goalsOver47.4%Under52.6%
4.5 goalsOver28.4%Under71.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Aston VillaViking
60%Form40%
54%Attack46%
93%Defence7%
50%Head to head50%
71%Expected goals29%
84%Overall16%

Last matches

Newest first
Aston Villa2W 0D 0L · last 2
WNewcastle vs Aston Villa17 Oct 2026 · Premier League0-1WAston Villa vs Fenerbahçe14 Oct 2026 · Champions League6-0
Viking1W 1D 0L · last 2
WViking vs Fredrikstad17 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien3-2DViking vs Bayern München13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-3

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAston VillaViking
Played22
Wins21
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)3.53
Goals against (avg)02.5
Clean sheets20
Failed to score00
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/22/2
Over 3.51/22/2
BTTS – yes0/22/2

Match preview

Aston Villa host Viking in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Villa Park, Birmingham, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Aston Villa clear favourites, giving Aston Villa a 70% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 13% for Viking. Our tip is: Aston Villa to win.

Aston Villa have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Viking have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Aston Villa vs Viking?

Aston Villa vs Viking kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Aston Villa vs Viking in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Aston Villa and Viking in the table?

Aston Villa are 2nd and Viking are 33rd in the Champions League.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?

Our prediction is Aston Villa to win. Win probabilities: Aston Villa 70%, draw 17%, Viking 13%.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Viking?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Viking?

We estimate a 69% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 21 Oct

FTLille 2-4 GalatasarayOver 1.5 ✓FTComo 4-1 Manchester United12 ✓FTReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓FTInter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk1 ✓FTReal Betis 1-0 Feyenoord1 ✓FTSporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz1 ✗FTClub Brugge KV 3-0 Lens12 ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Arsenal12 ✗

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