Match events
- VAR: Leon GoretzkaPenalty confirmedVAR13'
- Missed penalty: John McGinn16'
- 30'Yellow card: David AffengruberFoul
- Goal: Nicolas JacksonAssist: Johan Manzambi39'
- 45+4'Yellow card: Calvin BasseyFoul
HT 1-0
- 64'Own goal: Zion Suzuki (og)
- Substitution: Johan ManzambiOff: João Gomes66'
- Substitution: Alysson Edward Franco da RochaOff: Emiliano Buendía66'
- Substitution: Leon GoretzkaOff: Ibrahim Mbaye66'
- 75'Substitution: Alex IwobiOff: Tom Cairney
- Yellow card: Matty CashFoul76'
- 77'Yellow card: Tom CairneyFoul
- Substitution: Boubacar KamaraOff: Ross Barkley79'
- 79'Substitution: Josh KingOff: Cesar Palacios Perez
- 79'Substitution: Kenny TeteOff: Oscar Bobb
- 87'Substitution: Timothy CastagneOff: Hugo Larsson
- Substitution: John McGinnOff: Alejandro Garnacho87'
- 87'Substitution: Rodrigo MunizOff: Gonzalo García
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 45%Possession55%
- 1.74Expected goals (xG)2.23
- 16Total shots14
- 3Shots on target5
- 7Shots off target6
- 6Blocked shots3
- 12Shots inside the box13
- 7Corners7
- 2Offsides4
- 7Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 434Passes536
- 373Accurate passes474
Line-ups
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Z. SuzukiG
- 2M. CashD
- 3V. LindelöfD
- 14Pau TorresD
- 22I. MaatsenD
- 8B. KamaraM
- 27L. GoretzkaM
- 47Alysson EdwardM
- 7J. McGinnM
- 44J. ManzambiM
- 11N. JacksonF
Substitutes
- 35João GomesM
- 17A. GarnachoF
- 39Brian MadjoF
- 19I. MbayeF
- 40M. BizotG
- 4T. Harwood-BellisD
- 5T. MingsD
- 6R. BarkleyM
- 10E. BuendíaM
Coach: Unai Emery
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 21T. CastagneD
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 3C. BasseyD
- 33A. RobinsonD
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 24Joshua KingM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Substitutes
- 2K. TeteD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 10T. CairneyM
- 20Manuel ÁngelM
- 15H. LarssonM
- 8César PalaciosM
- 11KevinF
- 23B. LecomteG
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.20Half time / full time result. 1 = Aston Villa, X = draw, 2 = Fulham.
Asian handicap applied to Aston Villa.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPremier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Aston Villa | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 2 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.5 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 4 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/4 | 0/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/4 | 0/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 0/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/4 | 0/2 |
Match preview
Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Villa Park, Birmingham, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Aston Villa slight favourites, giving Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 27% for Fulham. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Aston Villa have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L). Fulham have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Saturday, 31 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Aston Villa vs Fulham kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Aston Villa vs Fulham in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Aston Villa and Fulham in the table?
Aston Villa are 9th and Fulham are 15th in the Premier League.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Aston Villa 47%, draw 26%, Fulham 27%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

