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Barcelona vs Alaves prediction

Barcelona vs Alaves prediction for the La Liga on 31 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
La Liga · Regular Season - 11
BarcelonaAlaves
6 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 4-0
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona

Match events

BarcelonaAlaves
  1. Goal: Raphael Dias BelloliAssist: Fermín López8'
  2. Goal: Fermín LópezAssist: Lamine Yamal23'
  3. 27'Yellow card: Carlos ProtesoniFoul
  4. Yellow card: PedriFoul40'
  5. Goal: Raphael Dias BelloliAssist: Fermín López41'
  6. Substitution: Marc BernalOff: Pedri45'
  7. 45'Substitution: Carlos ProtesoniOff: Toni Martínez
  8. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: João Cancelo45+1'
  9. 45+3'Yellow card: Angel Pérez HidalgoFoul

HT 4-0

  1. 55'Substitution: Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasOff: Denis Suárez
  2. 55'Substitution: Abderrahmane RebbachOff: Aitor Mañas
  3. Yellow card: João CanceloFoul57'
  4. 60'Yellow card: Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasDissent
  5. Substitution: Alejandro BaldeOff: João Cancelo62'
  6. Substitution: Raphael Dias BelloliOff: Gabriel Jesus62'
  7. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: Gabriel Jesus64'
  8. VAR: Lamine YamalGoal confirmedVAR64'
  9. Substitution: Anthony GordonOff: Lamine Yamal74'
  10. 74'Substitution: Angel Pérez HidalgoOff: Hugo Novoa Ramos
  11. 74'Substitution: Lucas BoyéOff: Mariano Díaz
  12. Goal: Anthony GordonAssist: Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante81'
  13. Substitution: Frenkie de JongOff: Gerard Martín82'
  14. 84'Goal: Mariano Díaz

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-1

Expected goals4.0

Win probability

1 · Barcelona84%
Fair odds 1.19
X · Draw11%
Fair odds 9.09
2 · Alaves5%
Fair odds 20.00

Match statistics

  • 77%Possession23%
  • 3.24Expected goals (xG)0.64
  • 13Total shots7
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 3Shots off target1
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box6
  • 4Corners3
  • 1Offsides5
  • 14Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 831Passes242
  • 769Accurate passes182

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Joan GarcíaG
  2. 4B. FarinasD
  3. 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
  4. 21F. de JongD
  5. 2João CanceloD
  6. 7FermínM
  7. 16RodriM
  8. 8PedriM
  9. 10Lamine YamalF
  10. 11RaphinhaF
  11. 14K. AdeyemiF

Substitutes

  1. 3Alejandro BaldeD
  2. 29H. AbdelkarimF
  3. 22Marc BernalM
  4. 41A. CamposD
  5. 9Gabriel JesusF
  6. 6GaviM
  7. 17A. GordonF
  8. 25D. LivakovićG
  9. 18Gerard MartínD
  10. 13W. SzczęsnyG
  11. 30E. TunkaraM
  12. 40Guillem VíctorD

Coach: H. Flick

Alaves

4-5-1

Starting XI

  1. 1SiveraG
  2. 17JonnyD
  3. 14N. TenagliaD
  4. 16V. KoskiD
  5. 3YusiD
  6. 7Angel PérezM
  7. 23C. BenavídezM
  8. 6GuevaraM
  9. 4Denis SuárezM
  10. 21A. RebbachM
  11. 15L. BoyéF

Substitutes

  1. 2N. ValentiniD
  2. 22Miguel RodríguezF
  3. 13A. GiménezG
  4. 27X. OlaizD
  5. 12Hugo NovoaF
  6. 11Toni MartínezF
  7. 20Aitor MañasF
  8. 19Pablo IbáñezM
  9. 9M. DíazF
  10. 24Selu DialloM
  11. 10Carles AleñáM
  12. 8Antonio BlancoM

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.25 – 0.79
0.5 goalsOver98.2%Under1.8%
1.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
2.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
3.5 goalsOver57.4%Under42.6%
4.5 goalsOver37.8%Under62.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BarcelonaAlaves
86%Form14%
75%Attack25%
39%Defence61%
50%Head to head50%
80%Expected goals20%
94%Overall6%

Last matches

Newest first
Barcelona2W 0D 2L · last 4
LBarcelona vs Real Madrid25 Oct 2026 · La Liga1-2LParis Saint Germain vs Barcelona20 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-2WReal Betis vs Barcelona17 Oct 2026 · La Liga2-5WGalatasaray vs Barcelona13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-4
Alaves0W 1D 1L · last 2
DAlaves vs Malaga23 Oct 2026 · La Liga1-1LCelta Vigo vs Alaves18 Oct 2026 · La Liga2-1

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1112
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander118
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBarcelonaAlaves
Played42
Wins20
Draws01
Losses21
Goals for (avg)31
Goals against (avg)2.31.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.54/42/2
Over 2.54/41/2
Over 3.53/40/2
BTTS – yes4/42/2

Match preview

Barcelona host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Barcelona clear favourites, giving Barcelona a 84% chance of winning, 11% for the draw and 5% for Alaves. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Barcelona have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L). Alaves have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Venue
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Barcelona vs Alaves?

Barcelona vs Alaves kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Barcelona vs Alaves in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Barcelona and Alaves in the table?

Barcelona are 1st and Alaves are 10th in the La Liga.

Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Barcelona 84%, draw 11%, Alaves 5%.

Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Alaves?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Barcelona vs Alaves?

We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sat 31 Oct

FTLevante 0-2 Atletico Madrid2 ✓FTRayo Vallecano 3-0 Celta Vigo1X ✓FTReal Betis 2-1 Malaga1 ✓

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