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Nea Salamis vs Pafos prediction

Nea Salamis vs Pafos prediction for the 1. Division on 26 Oct 2026: Pafos to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
1. Division · Regular Season - 7
Nea SalamisPafos
0 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 0-0
Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca

Match events

Nea SalamisPafos
  1. 10'VARVAR: VAR

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: Florent HaninOff: andreas dimitriou51'
  2. 63'Yellow card: Samy Mmaee
  3. 66'Substitution: Jónatas NoroOff: Domingos Quina
  4. Substitution: Panagiotis ArtymatasOff: Michail alexandros70'
  5. Substitution: Karol AngielskiOff: Panagiotis Louka70'
  6. 70'Substitution: Gabriel Teixeira AragaoOff: Murad Mammadov
  7. 76'Substitution: Leanderson da Silva GenésioOff: Anderson Silva
  8. 76'Substitution: afonso patraoOff: João Correia
  9. Yellow card: Giannis Gerolemou81'
  10. Substitution: Aldair BaldeOff: Braydon Manu84'
  11. Substitution: Giannis GerolemouOff: Jose Artiles84'

Our verdict

2 ✗

Pafos to win

Bet365 1.60

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Nea Salamis19%
Fair odds 5.26
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Pafos58%
Fair odds 1.72

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 7Total shots18
  • 1Shots on target9
  • 6Shots off target9
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 0Corners8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Nea Salamis

Starting XI

  1. 1Alberto VaróG
  2. 17AldairF
  3. 19K. AngielskiF
  4. 4P. ArtymatasD
  5. 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
  6. 25K. IliaM
  7. 29F. HaninD
  8. 7S. GrandsirM
  9. 55Sergio GonzálezD
  10. 10C. GiousisF
  11. 71G. GerolemouM

Substitutes

  1. 12A. DimitriouD
  2. 8José ArtilesM
  3. 34C. EvangelouF
  4. 14T. Johnson EbohM
  5. 63D. KovácsG
  6. 24V. LampropoulosD
  7. 89P. LoukaF
  8. 37B. ManuF
  9. 5A. MichailD
  10. 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
  11. 9Darío PovedaF
  12. 16Denys VakulykG

Coach: Ángel López

Pafos

Starting XI

  1. 20BielF
  2. 7Bruno FelipeF
  3. 77João CorreiaD
  4. 30V. DragomirM
  5. 6GugaM
  6. 18LelêF
  7. 3S. MmaeeD
  8. 23Jonatás NoroD
  9. 12K. SemaM
  10. 26I. ŠunjićM
  11. 99R. MajeckiG

Substitutes

  1. 4David LuizD
  2. 60Christos EvzonasM
  3. 72K. IoannouD
  4. 14N. IoannouD
  5. 47M. MammadovM
  6. 71M. PapastylianouG
  7. 17afonso patraoF
  8. 82P. PetrouG
  9. 8Domingos QuinaM
  10. 2Yoram\t ZagueD
  11. 33Anderson SilvaF
  12. 50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho BritoM

Coach: Ricardo Sá Pinto

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.89
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.2%Under21.8%
2.5 goalsOver54.9%Under45.1%
3.5 goalsOver32.6%Under67.4%
4.5 goalsOver16.5%Under83.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Nea SalamisPafos
60%Form40%
85%Attack15%
87%Defence13%
50%Head to head50%
34%Expected goals66%
25%Overall75%

Last matches

Newest first
Nea Salamis1W 0D 0L · last 1
WNea Salamis vs APEA21 Oct 2026 · Cup4-0
Pafos0W 2D 1L · last 3
DPafos vs Riga22 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1DPafos vs Apoel Nicosia19 Oct 2026 · 1. Division0-0LAtalanta vs Pafos15 Oct 2026 · Conference League3-1

1. Division table

1. Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1AEK Larnaca1+23
2Karmiotissa1+13
3Pafos202
4Apoel Nicosia101
5Nea Salamis101
6Olympiakos2-11
7Omonia Nicosia2-21
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNea SalamisPafos
Played13
Wins10
Draws02
Losses01
Goals for (avg)40.7
Goals against (avg)01.3
Clean sheets11
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/3
Over 2.51/11/3
Over 3.51/11/3
BTTS – yes0/12/3

Match preview

Nea Salamis host Pafos in the 1. Division (Regular Season - 7) at Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Pafos favourites, giving Nea Salamis a 19% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 58% for Pafos. Our tip is: Pafos to win.

Nea Salamis have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Pafos have taken 2 points from their last 3 games (0W 2D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Cyprus 1. Division
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Nea Salamis vs Pafos?

Nea Salamis vs Pafos kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Nea Salamis vs Pafos in?

The match is in the Cyprus 1. Division.

Where are Nea Salamis and Pafos in the table?

Nea Salamis are 5th and Pafos are 3rd in the 1. Division.

Who will win Nea Salamis vs Pafos?

Our prediction is Pafos to win. Win probabilities: Nea Salamis 19%, draw 23%, Pafos 58%.

Will both teams score in Nea Salamis vs Pafos?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nea Salamis vs Pafos?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Division on Mon 26 Oct

FTAEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia NicosiaX2 ✗

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