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Twente vs FC Thun prediction

Twente vs FC Thun prediction for the Conference League on 15 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Conference League · League Stage - 1
TwenteNo recent gamesFC ThunNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

Match events

TwenteFC Thun
  1. VAR: D. WeidmannGoal Disallowed - FoulVAR24'
  2. 31'Yellow card: F. FehrFoul
  3. Yellow card: A. AdelgaardTripping43'

HT 0-0

  1. 46'Substitution: J. BamertOff: N. Zoukit
  2. 60'Red card: P. KristalSerious foul
  3. Goal: R. ZerroukiAssist: D. Weidmann65'
  4. 66'Substitution: F. DursunOff: N. Maier
  5. 66'Substitution: N. ReichmuthOff: L. Passavant
  6. Substitution: D. RotsOff: M. Pjaca67'
  7. Substitution: Y. TahaOff: K. Hlynsson67'
  8. Substitution: S. OrjasaeterOff: F. Thorvaldsen78'
  9. 81'Substitution: O. MambwaOff: T. Strannegard
  10. 81'Substitution: B. LabeauOff: R. Braschi
  11. Substitution: D. WeidmannOff: T. van den Belt84'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✗

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals4.0

Win probability

1 · Twente78%
Fair odds 1.28
X · Draw13%
Fair odds 7.69
2 · FC Thun9%
Fair odds 11.11

Match statistics

  • 75%Possession25%
  • 2.03Expected goals (xG)0.18
  • 19Total shots5
  • 4Shots on target0
  • 10Shots off target2
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box1
  • 6Corners1
  • 5Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Goalkeeper saves3
  • 606Passes206
  • 531Accurate passes145
  • 88%Pass accuracy70%

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16Joël DrommelG
  2. 28Bart van RooijD
  3. 3Robin PröpperD
  4. 4Ruud NijstadD
  5. 29Aske AdelgaardD
  6. 6Ramiz ZerroukiM
  7. 8Daouda WeidmannM
  8. 11Daan RotsM
  9. 10Younes TahaM
  10. 27Sondre ØrjasæterM
  11. 9Wout WeghorstF

Substitutes

  1. 14Kristian HlynssonM
  2. 7Marko PjacaF
  3. 31Yannick GerritsenG
  4. 22Remko PasveerG
  5. 39Jip MeilinkD
  6. 24Krzysztof KurowskiD
  7. 2Michał RosiakD
  8. 26Benjamin NagelM
  9. 18Jordy BawuahM
  10. 17Filip ThorvaldsenF
  11. 20Thomas Van den BeltM
  12. 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF

FC Thun

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Niklas SteffenG
  2. 47Fabio FehrD
  3. 5Nicolas BürgyD
  4. 19Jan BamertD
  5. 2Olivier MambwaD
  6. 70Nils ReichmuthM
  7. 16Justin RothM
  8. 14Mattias KäitM
  9. 15Patrik KristalM
  10. 96Brighton LabeauF
  11. 9Furkan DursunF

Substitutes

  1. 13Nassim ZoukitM
  2. 30Nico MaierM
  3. 54Louis PassavantD
  4. 22Dario WaltiG
  5. 25Tim SpycherG
  6. 18Tom StrannegårdM
  7. 37Lucien DählerD
  8. 21Dorian DerbaciM
  9. 20Riccardo BraschiF
  10. 26Noah ChristofferssonF
  11. 80Simon LengenF

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.05 – 1.00
0.5 goalsOver98.2%Under1.8%
1.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
2.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
3.5 goalsOver57.6%Under42.4%
4.5 goalsOver38.1%Under61.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

TwenteFC Thun
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
75%Expected goals25%
90%Overall10%

Last matches

Newest first
Twente0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FC Thun0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Conference League table

Conference League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
11Universitatea Craiova2+24
12Mjallby AIF2+24
13Ajax2+13
14Borac Banja Luka2+13
15Atalanta203
16SC Braga2-13
17Gent2-13
18SC Freiburg2-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202
21Riga202
22FK Crvena Zvezda2-11
23CSKA Sofia2-11
24FK Jablonec2-11
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
See full table ›

Top scorers

Conference League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. BehrensFC Lugano87
2Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion67
3C. DessersPanathinaikos56
4A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen75
5D. KlaassenAjax75

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatTwenteFC Thun
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Twente host FC Thun in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Twente clear favourites, giving Twente a 78% chance of winning, 13% for the draw and 9% for FC Thun. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Conference League
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Twente vs FC Thun?

Twente vs FC Thun kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Twente vs FC Thun in?

The match is in the Europe Conference League.

Where are Twente and FC Thun in the table?

Twente are 5th and FC Thun are 32nd in the Conference League.

Who will win Twente vs FC Thun?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Twente 78%, draw 13%, FC Thun 9%.

Will both teams score in Twente vs FC Thun?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Twente vs FC Thun?

We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Conference League on Thu 15 Oct

FTRiga 1-1 Kairat Almaty1X ✓FTCSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco2 ✓FTUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 GetafeX2 ✓FTMjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes1 ✓FTPanathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja Luka1 ✓FTGent 1-0 Aarhus1 ✓FTEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland2 ✗FTKuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor2 ✓FTHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax2 ✗FTFC Lugano 3-2 FK Crvena ZvezdaOver 1.5 ✓FTSt. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 19991 ✓FTAtalanta 3-1 Pafos1 ✓FTBrann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCOver 2.5 ✓FTBrighton 4-0 Kauno ŽalgirisNG ✓FTSC Freiburg 3-2 FK JablonecUnder 3.5 ✗FTHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandX2 ✓FTFC Copenhagen 3-0 SC BragaOver 1.5 ✓

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