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Excelsior vs Twente prediction

Excelsior vs Twente prediction for the Eredivisie on 1 Nov 2026: Twente to win (59%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
ExcelsiorTwente
0 - 9Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 0-5
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

Match events

ExcelsiorTwente
  1. Red card: Nesto groenSerious Foul5'
  2. 12'Goal: Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
  3. 17'Yellow card: Wout WeghorstFoul
  4. 27'VARVAR: Thomas Van den BeltGoal cancelled
  5. 32'Goal: Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
  6. 33'Goal: Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
  7. 39'Goal: Thomas Van den Belt
  8. Yellow card: Lennard HartjesFoul43'
  9. Substitution: Aymen slitiOff: Mario Domínguez Franco45'
  10. 45'Substitution: Bart van RooijOff: Michal Rosiak
  11. 45'Substitution: Ruud NijstadOff: Jordy Bawuah
  12. Substitution: Daniel van VianenOff: Eric da Silva Moreira45'
  13. 45+1'Goal: Daan RotsAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter

HT 0-5

  1. 49'Goal: Jordy BawuahAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
  2. 59'VARVAR: Jordy BawuahPenalty confirmed
  3. 62'Penalty goal: Wout Weghorst (pen)
  4. 63'Substitution: Sondre Holmlund OrjasaeterOff: Marko Pjaca
  5. Substitution: Irakli YegoianOff: Simon Janssen63'
  6. 63'Substitution: Wout WeghorstOff: Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
  7. 71'Penalty goal: Ramiz Zerrouki (pen)
  8. 72'Substitution: Robin PropperOff: Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson
  9. 82'Goal: Daan RotsAssist: Thomas Van den Belt
  10. Substitution: Noah NaujoksOff: Valentin Sulzbacher83'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Twente to win

Bet365 1.57

59%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-9

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Excelsior19%
Fair odds 5.26
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Twente59%
Fair odds 1.69

Match statistics

  • 20%Possession80%
  • 0.00Expected goals (xG)6.26
  • 0Total shots28
  • 0Shots on target15
  • 0Shots off target8
  • 0Blocked shots5
  • 0Shots inside the box23
  • 0Corners8
  • 1Offsides4
  • 7Fouls6
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves0
  • 221Passes860
  • 152Accurate passes776

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1S. van GasselG
  2. 3R. MeissenD
  3. 4C. WidellD
  4. 14J. PlugD
  5. 12K. BosD
  6. 6D. van VianenM
  7. 10N. NaujoksM
  8. 20L. HartjesM
  9. 7A. SlitiF
  10. 28N. GroenF
  11. 8I. YegoianF

Substitutes

  1. 16Celton BiaiG
  2. 11A. JahanbakhshF
  3. 23Y. FineyM
  4. 9Mario DomínguezF
  5. 24Giulliano CairoM
  6. 15S. JanssenD
  7. 2Eric Emanuel da Silva MoreiraF
  8. 21I. Silva TimasF
  9. 18V. SulzbacherM
  10. 30Á. ÞorsteinssonM
  11. 19D. GardenF

Coach: R. den Uil

Twente

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 16J. DrommelG
  2. 28B. van RooijD
  3. 3R. PröpperD
  4. 4R. NijstadD
  5. 29A. AdelgaardD
  6. 6R. ZerroukiM
  7. 10Y. TahaM
  8. 20T. van den BeltM
  9. 11D. RotsF
  10. 9W. WeghorstF
  11. 27S. ØrjasæterF

Substitutes

  1. 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
  2. 2M. RosiakD
  3. 7M. PjacaF
  4. 22R. PasveerG
  5. 39J. MeilinkD
  6. 24K. KurowskiD
  7. 14K. HlynssonM
  8. 31Yannick GerritsenG
  9. 18Jordy BawuahM

Coach: J. van den Brom

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.13 – 2.09
0.5 goalsOver96.0%Under4.0%
1.5 goalsOver83.1%Under16.9%
2.5 goalsOver62.4%Under37.6%
3.5 goalsOver40.2%Under59.8%
4.5 goalsOver22.3%Under77.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ExcelsiorTwente
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
24%Defence76%
50%Head to head50%
35%Expected goals65%
24%Overall76%

Last matches

Newest first
Excelsior0W 0D 2L · last 2
LFortuna Sittard vs Excelsior25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-0LHeerenveen vs Excelsior16 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie4-0
Twente3W 0D 1L · last 4
WAZ Alkmaar vs Twente25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie0-2WLincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente22 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-4LTwente vs Utrecht18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-2WTwente vs FC Thun15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-0

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen118
3W. WeghorstTwente118
4M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam117
5G. TilPSV Eindhoven117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatExcelsiorTwente
Played24
Wins03
Draws00
Losses21
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)2.50.8
Clean sheets02
Failed to score20
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.51/23/4
Over 2.51/22/4
Over 3.51/21/4
BTTS – yes0/22/4

Match preview

Excelsior host Twente in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 14:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Twente favourites, giving Excelsior a 19% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 59% for Twente. Our tip is: Twente to win.

Excelsior have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Twente have taken 9 points from their last 4 games (3W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 14:30 WAT
Venue
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Excelsior vs Twente?

Excelsior vs Twente kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Excelsior vs Twente in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Excelsior and Twente in the table?

Excelsior are 15th and Twente are 4th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?

Our prediction is Twente to win. Win probabilities: Excelsior 19%, draw 22%, Twente 59%.

Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Twente?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Excelsior vs Twente?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 1 Nov

FTPEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den Haag1X ✓FTTelstar 4-2 UtrechtX2 ✗FTGroningen 2-3 Sparta Rotterdam1X ✗

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