Match events
Aarhus- 21'Substitution: M. AndersonOff: F. Emmery
HT 0-0
- 46'Substitution: D. L. GretarssonOff: T. Molgaard
- Substitution: S. Van Der HeydenOff: M. Diallo46'
- 58'Yellow card: J. BogereRoughing
- 62'Substitution: K. ArnstadOff: M. Knudsen
- Substitution: M. VolckaertOff: H. Goore66'
- Yellow card: M. DelorgeFoul73'
- 76'Yellow card: M. Solbakken
- 77'Substitution: E. KahlOff: F. Tingager
- 77'Substitution: M. SolbakkenOff: J. Jonsson
- Substitution: M. DelorgeOff: L. Lopes77'
- Yellow card: T. De VliegerTripping86'
- Goal: H. GooreAssist: T. Araujo87'
Our verdict
Gent to win
Bet365 1.65
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 52%Possession48%
- 2.05Expected goals (xG)0.23
- 23Total shots4
- 4Shots on target1
- 14Shots off target2
- 5Blocked shots1
- 15Shots inside the box3
- 11Corners2
- 10Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Goalkeeper saves3
- 494Passes469
- 434Accurate passes405
- 88%Pass accuracy86%
Line-ups
Gent
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 33Davy RoefG
- 3Maksim PaskotsiD
- 16Christian BurgessD
- 44Siebe Van der HeydenD
- 27Tibe De VliegerM
- 7Michel Ange BalikwishaM
- 57Matties VolckaertM
- 17Mathias DelorgeM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 75Ibrahima CisseF
- 11Momodou SonkoF
Substitutes
- 56Mamadou DialloD
- 45Hyllarion GooreF
- 30Kjell PeersmanG
- 18Matisse SamoiseM
- 39Abdul AyindeD
- 8László BénesM
- 10Aimé OmgbaM
- 14Kyrell WilsonF
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 28Mohammed El ÂdfaouiM
- 37Abdelkahar KadriM
- 59El Hadji SeckF
Aarhus
3-5-2Starting XI
- 21Mads HedenstadG
- 25Colin RöslerD
- 3Daníel GrétarssonD
- 19Eric KahlD
- 26Jacob AndersenM
- 18Callum McCowattM
- 7Markus SolbakkenM
- 10Kristian ArnstadM
- 23Mikael AndersonM
- 27Stefen TchamcheF
- 28James BogereF
Substitutes
- 39Frederik EmmeryF
- 14Tobias MølgaardD
- 4Magnus KnudsenM
- 42Marius van der RaadG
- 1Jesper HansenG
- 5Frederik TingagerD
- 33Luka CalløD
- 29Rasmus CarstensenD
- 8Sebastian JørgensenM
- 16Jens JønssonM
- 31Tobias BechF
- 13Janni SerraF
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.85 – 0.96Half time / full time result. 1 = Gent, X = draw, 2 = Aarhus.
Asian handicap applied to Gent.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstConference League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. BehrensFC Lugano | 8 | 7 |
| 2 |  Winsley Boteli MokangoFC Sion | 6 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. DessersPanathinaikos | 5 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. CorneliusFC Copenhagen | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  D. KlaassenAjax | 7 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Gent | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Gent host Aarhus in the Conference League (League Stage - 1) at Planet Group Arena, Gent, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Gent favourites, giving Gent a 58% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 19% for Aarhus. Our tip is: Gent to win.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Conference League
- Date
- Thursday, 15 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
- Venue
- Planet Group Arena, Gent
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Gent vs Aarhus?
Gent vs Aarhus kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Gent vs Aarhus in?
The match is in the Europe Conference League.
Where are Gent and Aarhus in the table?
Gent are 17th and Aarhus are 26th in the Conference League.
Who will win Gent vs Aarhus?
Our prediction is Gent to win. Win probabilities: Gent 58%, draw 23%, Aarhus 19%.
Will both teams score in Gent vs Aarhus?
We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gent vs Aarhus?
We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.