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Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction for the DFB Pokal on 28 Oct 2026: Over 3.5 (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
DFB Pokal · Round of 32
Bayern München1. FC Magdeburg
6 - 1Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 2-1
Allianz Arena, Munich

Match events

Bayern München1. FC Magdeburg
  1. Goal: Michael OliseAssist: Ismael Saibari10'
  2. 15'Goal: Mateusz ZukowskiAssist: Felipe Chávez
  3. Goal: Ismael SaibariAssist: Michael Olise21'
  4. Substitution: Serge GnabryOff: Alphonso Davies45'

HT 2-1

  1. Penalty goal: Michael Olise (pen)50'
  2. 63'Substitution: Alexander NollenbergerOff: Herbert Bockhorn
  3. 63'Substitution: Felipe ChávezOff: Falko Michel
  4. Substitution: Konrad LaimerOff: Aleksandar Pavlović68'
  5. Substitution: Michael OliseOff: Sacha Boey68'
  6. Goal: Alphonso DaviesAssist: Lennart Karl70'
  7. Goal: Nathaniel BrownAssist: Alphonso Davies73'
  8. Substitution: Ismael SaibariOff: Tim Binder75'
  9. 75'Substitution: Emmanuel IyohaOff: Magnus Elias Walther Baars
  10. 75'Substitution: Luka HyryläinenOff: Leon Mergner
  11. 80'Yellow card: Falko MichelFoul
  12. Substitution: Tom BischofOff: David Daiber82'
  13. Yellow card: Nathaniel BrownTime Wasting84'
  14. 85'Substitution: Torben MüselOff: Richmond Tachie
  15. 86'Yellow card: Garcia MacNultyFoul
  16. Yellow card: Aleksandar PavlovićFoul89'
  17. 90+1'Yellow card: Pierre NadjombeTime Wasting
  18. Goal: David DaiberAssist: Josip Stanišić90+3'

Our verdict

Over 3.5 ✓

Over 3.5

Bet365 1.36

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 6-1

Expected goals4.5

Win probability

1 · Bayern München91%
Fair odds 1.10
X · Draw6%
Fair odds 16.67
2 · 1. FC Magdeburg3%
Fair odds 33.33

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 3.82Expected goals (xG)0.66
  • 19Total shots9
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 9Shots off target7
  • 2Blocked shots0
  • 12Shots inside the box8
  • 6Corners0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 7Fouls6
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 745Passes429
  • 674Accurate passes362

Line-ups

Bayern München

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 40J. UrbigG
  2. 44J. StanišićD
  3. 4J. TahD
  4. 21H. ItoD
  5. 11N. BrownD
  6. 27K. LaimerM
  7. 8T. BischofM
  8. 17M. OliseM
  9. 42L. KarlM
  10. 7S. GnabryM
  11. 34I. SaibariF

Substitutes

  1. 2D. UpamecanoD
  2. 19A. DaviesD
  3. 23S. BoeyD
  4. 46T. BinderF
  5. 9H. KaneF
  6. 3Kim Min-JaeD
  7. 45A. PavlovićM
  8. 47David DaiberM
  9. 26S. UlreichG

Coach: V. Kompany

1. FC Magdeburg

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1D. ReimannG
  2. 28P. NadjombeD
  3. 5T. MüllerD
  4. 3A. MacNultyD
  5. 17A. NollenbergerD
  6. 38L. HyryläinenM
  7. 11F. ChávezM
  8. 26T. MüselM
  9. 8E. IyohaF
  10. 22M. ŻukowskiF
  11. 23B. AtikF

Substitutes

  1. 7H. BockhornD
  2. 15D. HeberD
  3. 6P. JaeckelD
  4. 30N. KruthG
  5. 33Leon MergnerM
  6. 21F. MichelM
  7. 9R. ŠimićF
  8. 29R. TachieF
  9. 35Magnus Elias BaarsF

Coach: P. Sander

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.80 – 0.65
0.5 goalsOver98.6%Under1.4%
1.5 goalsOver93.4%Under6.6%
2.5 goalsOver81.9%Under18.1%
3.5 goalsOver64.7%Under35.3%
4.5 goalsOver45.6%Under54.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Bayern München1. FC Magdeburg
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
53%Defence47%
50%Head to head50%
85%Expected goals15%
97%Overall3%

Last matches

Newest first
Bayern München2W 2D 0L · last 4
WSC Freiburg vs Bayern München25 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-3DBayern München vs Arsenal21 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-2WBayern München vs RB Leipzig17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga6-1DViking vs Bayern München13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-3
1. FC Magdeburg0W 0D 1L · last 1
LDynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg18 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga2-0

DFB Pokal table

DFB Pokal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München1+53
2Bayer Leverkusen1+33
31. FC Kaiserslautern1+23
4Dynamo Dresden1+23
5Hertha BSC1+23
6SC Freiburg1+13
7VfB Stuttgart1+13
81899 Hoffenheim101
9Holstein Kiel101
10VfL Wolfsburg1-10
11SC Paderborn 071-10
12FC Schalke 041-20
13Hannover 961-20
14SSV Jeddeloh1-20
151. FC Nürnberg1-30
161. FC Magdeburg1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBayern München1. FC Magdeburg
Played41
Wins20
Draws20
Losses01
Goals for (avg)3.50
Goals against (avg)1.82
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.54/41/1
Over 2.54/40/1
Over 3.54/40/1
BTTS – yes4/40/1

Match preview

Bayern München host 1. FC Magdeburg in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Allianz Arena, Munich, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bayern München clear favourites, giving Bayern München a 91% chance of winning, 6% for the draw and 3% for 1. FC Magdeburg. Our tip is: Over 3.5.

Bayern München have taken 8 points from their last 4 games (2W 2D 0L). 1. FC Magdeburg have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany DFB Pokal
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Allianz Arena, Munich

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg in?

The match is in the Germany DFB Pokal.

Where are Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg in the table?

Bayern München are 1st and 1. FC Magdeburg are 16th in the DFB Pokal.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Our prediction is Over 3.5. Win probabilities: Bayern München 91%, draw 6%, 1. FC Magdeburg 3%.

Will both teams score in Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

We estimate a 82% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More DFB Pokal on Wed 28 Oct

FTDynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04X2 ✗FTSC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg1 ✓FTSSV Jeddeloh 0-2 Hertha BSCOver 3.5 ✗FTSC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB Stuttgart2 ✓FTHolstein Kiel 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim2 ✗FTBayer Leverkusen 5-2 1. FC NürnbergOver 2.5 ✓FTHannover 96 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern1X ✗

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