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Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction for the La Liga on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
La Liga · Regular Season - 9
EspanyolNo recent gamesAtletico Madrid
0 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
RCDE Stadium, Cornella

Match events

EspanyolAtletico Madrid
  1. 22'Yellow card: Morten HjulmandArgument
  2. 43'Yellow card: Lee Kang-InFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Ademola LookmanOff: Julián Álvarez
  4. 45'Substitution: Daniel Martinez MorenoOff: Alejandro Grimaldo

HT 0-0

  1. 55'Substitution: Pablo Barrios RivasOff: Marcos Llorente
  2. 62'Substitution: Alejandro Baena RodríguezOff: Lee Kang-In
  3. Substitution: Vanja DrkusicOff: Unai Núñez64'
  4. 66'Yellow card: Cristian RomeroFoul
  5. 67'Substitution: Cristian RomeroOff: Rodrigo Mendoza
  6. 68'Yellow card: Alejandro Baena RodríguezDissent
  7. Substitution: Eduardo Expósito JaénOff: Álex Calatrava Torrado73'
  8. Substitution: Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaOff: Gabriel Moscardo73'
  9. 79'Yellow card: Rodrigo MendozaFoul
  10. Yellow card: Roger HinojoFoul81'
  11. Substitution: Javi PuadoOff: Bryan Zaragoza82'
  12. Substitution: Roberto Fernández JaénOff: Marcos Fernández82'
  13. Yellow card: Unai NúñezFoul87'
  14. 89'Goal: Alejandro Baena RodríguezAssist: Julián Álvarez

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Espanyol22%
Fair odds 4.55
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Atletico Madrid54%
Fair odds 1.85

Match statistics

  • 29%Possession71%
  • 0.50Expected goals (xG)1.03
  • 10Total shots19
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 5Shots off target9
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 6Shots inside the box10
  • 4Corners12
  • 0Offsides4
  • 10Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves2
  • 268Passes670
  • 196Accurate passes598

Line-ups

Espanyol

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Ángel FortuñoG
  2. 23O. El HilaliD
  3. 16V. DrkušićD
  4. 5C. RiedelD
  5. 6L. CabreraD
  6. 21Roger HinojoD
  7. 28Javier HernandezM
  8. 8Edu ExpósitoM
  9. 10Pol LozanoM
  10. 15Bryan ZaragozaM
  11. 9Roberto FernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 26Rafel BauzàM
  2. 22Álex CalatravaM
  3. 13M. DmitrovićG
  4. 24T. DolanF
  5. 18Marcos FernándezF
  6. 4Urko GonzálezM
  7. 2GorosabelD
  8. 3Q. HartmanD
  9. 11Pere MillaM
  10. 14Unai NúñezD
  11. 7Javi PuadoF
  12. 20Gabriel MoscardoM

Coach: Manolo González

Atletico Madrid

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 13J. OblakG
  2. 18Marc PubillD
  3. 21C. RomeroD
  4. 17D. HanckoD
  5. 30Dani MartínezD
  6. 20G. SimeoneM
  7. 8Pablo BarriosM
  8. 23M. HjulmandM
  9. 7Lee Kang-InM
  10. 15J. DavidF
  11. 11A. LookmanF

Substitutes

  1. 46J. CastilloM
  2. 27J. DominguezD
  3. 10Álex BaenaM
  4. 19J. ÁlvarezF
  5. 3O. VargasM
  6. 24Robin Le NormandD
  7. 9A. SørlothF
  8. 16Arnau OrtizF
  9. 1J. MussoG
  10. 4Rodrigo MendozaM
  11. 14Marcos LlorenteM
  12. 22Álex GrimaldoD

Coach: D. Simeone

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.02 – 1.74
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.2%Under23.8%
2.5 goalsOver52.1%Under47.9%
3.5 goalsOver29.9%Under70.1%
4.5 goalsOver14.6%Under85.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EspanyolAtletico Madrid
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
37%Expected goals63%
29%Overall71%

Last matches

Newest first
Espanyol0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Atletico Madrid1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAtletico Madrid vs Manchester United13 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-0

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1011
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander108
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEspanyolAtletico Madrid
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

Espanyol host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at RCDE Stadium, Cornella, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Atletico Madrid favourites, giving Espanyol a 22% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 54% for Atletico Madrid. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Atletico Madrid have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
RCDE Stadium, Cornella

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Espanyol and Atletico Madrid in the table?

Espanyol are 14th and Atletico Madrid are 2nd in the La Liga.

Who will win Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Espanyol 22%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 54%.

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More La Liga on Sat 17 Oct

FTVillarreal 0-0 Elche1 ✗FTReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona2 ✓FTValencia 0-0 Athletic ClubX2 ✓

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