League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Accrington ST- 14'Yellow card: Donald LoveFoul
HT 0-0
- Yellow card: Jack HuntNot Retreating55'
- 61'Goal: Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols
- Substitution: Alex NewbyOff: Frankie Maguire63'
- Substitution: Jeff KingOff: Joseph Rabole Felix63'
- Substitution: Jack HuntOff: Ryan Fallowfield63'
- Substitution: Ollie BanksOff: Hiram Boateng73'
- Substitution: Alex HuntOff: Arthur Read73'
- 80'Substitution: Charlie WarrenOff: Conor Grant
- Yellow card: Arthur ReadFoul81'
- 82'Yellow card: Aidan borlandFoul
- 87'Yellow card: Stefan MolsFoul
- 88'Substitution: Charlie·BrownOff: Stefan Mols
- Goal: Ollie PearceAssist: Arthur Read90'
Our verdict
York to win
Bet365 1.67
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.63Expected goals (xG)1.09
- 15Total shots12
- 6Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target6
- 5Blocked shots2
- 6Shots inside the box9
- 7Corners6
- 1Offsides1
- 10Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves5
- 524Passes322
- 444Accurate passes252
Line-ups
York
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Alfie Shane McNallyG
- 32J. HuntD
- 5Z. JohnsonD
- 3M. KitchingD
- 15J. KingM
- 8A. HuntM
- 28O. BanksM
- 12H. BoyesM
- 7J. GreyM
- 30A. NewbyM
- 10O. PearceF
Substitutes
- 21H. BoatengM
- 2R. FallowfieldD
- 23J. FelixD
- 11F. MaguireM
- 16A. ReadM
- 31G. Sykes-KenworthyG
- 24M. WilliamsD
Coach: S. Lindsey
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1L. MouldenG
- 2D. LoveD
- 17D. MatthewsD
- 22J. AndersonD
- 38C. O'BrienM
- 14Stefan MolsM
- 16Aidan BorlandM
- 33D. TutondaM
- 23T. WaltonM
- 30C. WarrenF
- 39J. WoodsF
Substitutes
- 4T. MooreD
- 8C. GrantM
- 20C. BrownF
- 3Oliver SmithD
- 25J. SmithD
- 21J. RogersonG
Coach: J. Doolan
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.07Half time / full time result. 1 = York, X = draw, 2 = Accrington ST.
Asian handicap applied to York.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstYork0W 1D 0L · last 1Accrington ST1W 0D 0L · last 1League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 12 | 10 |
| 2 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 13 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 11 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 13 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | York | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
York host Accrington ST in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at York Community Stadium, York, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes York favourites, giving York a 57% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 20% for Accrington ST. Our tip is: York to win.
York have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Accrington ST have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- York Community Stadium, York
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is York vs Accrington ST?
York vs Accrington ST kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is York vs Accrington ST in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are York and Accrington ST in the table?
York are 7th and Accrington ST are 9th in the League Two.
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
Our prediction is York to win. Win probabilities: York 57%, draw 23%, Accrington ST 20%.
Will both teams score in York vs Accrington ST?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in York vs Accrington ST?
We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.