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Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town prediction

Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town prediction for the League Two on 20 Oct 2026: Fleetwood Town or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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CheltenhamFleetwood Town
4 - 2Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 3-0
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Match events

CheltenhamFleetwood Town
  1. 11'Yellow card: Adam MurphyFoul
  2. Own goal: Jay Lynch (og)17'
  3. Yellow card: Ben StevensonFoul20'
  4. Goal: K. Otchere25'
  5. 31'Yellow card: Shaun RooneyDissent
  6. Goal: Jake EvansAssist: Charlie McCann39'
  7. 45'Substitution: Will daviesOff: Ched Evans
  8. 45'Substitution: Adam MurphyOff: Crispin McLean
  9. 45'Substitution: Ronan CoughlanOff: Conor Haughey

HT 3-0

  1. 50'Goal: Ched EvansAssist: Crispin McLean
  2. Yellow card: Jonathan TomkinsonFoul64'
  3. 65'Penalty goal: Ched Evans (pen)
  4. Yellow card: Stephen John CotterillDissent65'
  5. Substitution: Ryan BroomOff: K. Otchere74'
  6. 76'Substitution: Lewis McCannOff: Aaron Loupalo-Bi
  7. Goal: Freddie willcox80'
  8. Substitution: Jake EvansOff: George Miller84'
  9. Substitution: Jordan ShipleyOff: George Nurse85'
  10. Substitution: Andreas WeimannOff: Jake Bickerstaff88'
  11. 88'Substitution: Finley PotterOff: R. Cirino
  12. 89'Yellow card: R. BennettFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Fleetwood Town or draw

Bet365 1.40

66%

✗ This tip lost · final score 4-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Cheltenham34%
Fair odds 2.94
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Fleetwood Town39%
Fair odds 2.56

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1.91Expected goals (xG)2.38
  • 10Total shots13
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 3Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners5
  • 0Offsides1
  • 17Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 357Passes470
  • 231Accurate passes345

Line-ups

Cheltenham

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 23W. StanwayG
  2. 3J. TomkinsonD
  3. 6J. WilsonD
  4. 25P. SweeneyD
  5. 33F. WillcoxD
  6. 7B. StevensonM
  7. 19J. EvansM
  8. 9K. OtchereM
  9. 8C. McCannM
  10. 26J. ShipleyM
  11. 18A. WeimannF

Substitutes

  1. 11J. BickerstaffF
  2. 14R. BroomM
  3. 31M. DialloG
  4. 10G. MillerF
  5. 21G. NurseD
  6. 20Favour OnukwuliF

Coach: S. Cotterill

Fleetwood Town

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1J. LynchG
  2. 26S. RooneyD
  3. 6R. BennettD
  4. 5F. PotterD
  5. 4H. NealM
  6. 14L. McCannM
  7. 15A. MurphyM
  8. 10M. HelmM
  9. 24Jake Thomas BattyM
  10. 19R. CoughlanF
  11. 9W. DaviesF

Substitutes

  1. 17C. EvansF
  2. 20A. Loupalo-BiF
  3. 22J. PradicG
  4. 28J. RobertsonM
  5. 27C. McLeanM
  6. 16Conor HaugheyD
  7. 29R. CirinoD

Coach: M. Lawlor

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.44
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.4%Under23.6%
2.5 goalsOver52.3%Under47.7%
3.5 goalsOver30.1%Under69.9%
4.5 goalsOver14.8%Under85.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CheltenhamFleetwood Town
0%Form100%
33%Attack67%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
48%Expected goals52%
47%Overall53%

Last matches

Newest first

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1310
2C. McCannCheltenham139
3A. PressleyWalsall129
4A. DrinanSwindon Town148
5P. MullinRotherham148

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCheltenhamFleetwood Town
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Cheltenham host Fleetwood Town in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Fleetwood Town narrow favourites, giving Cheltenham a 34% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 39% for Fleetwood Town. Our tip is: Fleetwood Town or draw.

Cheltenham have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Fleetwood Town have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?

Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Cheltenham and Fleetwood Town in the table?

Cheltenham are 5th and Fleetwood Town are 16th in the League Two.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?

Our prediction is Fleetwood Town or draw. Win probabilities: Cheltenham 34%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town 39%.

Will both teams score in Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Tue 20 Oct

FTYork 1-1 Accrington ST1 ✗FTBarnet 1-3 Swindon Town1 ✗FTExeter City 2-0 CreweUnder 3.5 ✓FTRochdale 2-2 GrimsbyX2 ✓FTWalsall 3-0 Oldham12 ✓FTRotherham 2-2 Newport County12 ✗FTChesterfield 1-1 Colchester1 ✗FTCrawley Town 2-3 ShrewsburyX2 ✓FTBristol Rovers 1-2 Salford CityOver 1.5 ✓FTNorthampton 0-1 TranmereUnder 3.5 ✓FTGillingham 1-1 Port ValeUnder 3.5 ✓

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