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Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction

Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction for the League Two on 20 Oct 2026: Grimsby or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
League Two · Regular Season - 12
RochdaleGrimsby
2 - 2Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 1-0
Spotland Stadium, Rochdale

Match events

RochdaleGrimsby
  1. 6'Yellow card: Charles Vernam
  2. Yellow card: Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoFoul20'
  3. Goal: Dajaune BrownAssist: Glenn Middleton38'
  4. 42'Yellow card: Maldini KacurriFoul
  5. Substitution: Olutobi Adebayo-RowlingOff: K. Taylor45'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Edward FrancisFoul49'
  2. 50'Yellow card: Jamie WalkerFoul
  3. 57'Goal: Kieran Green
  4. Substitution: Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoOff: sam beckwith65'
  5. Yellow card: Cian HayesFoul67'
  6. Yellow card: Ian WatsonDissent68'
  7. 72'Goal: Jamie Walker
  8. Substitution: Cian HayesOff: Luke Hannant75'
  9. 76'Substitution: Jamie WalkerOff: Cian Doyle
  10. 76'Substitution: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorOff: Sonny Finch
  11. Substitution: K. TaylorOff: Ian Henderson81'
  12. Goal: Ian Henderson88'
  13. 89'Substitution: Finn CartwrightOff: Iwan Morgan

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Grimsby or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Rochdale32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Grimsby41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 2.05Expected goals (xG)2.29
  • 16Total shots24
  • 6Shots on target7
  • 6Shots off target9
  • 4Blocked shots8
  • 12Shots inside the box12
  • 7Corners10
  • 0Offsides1
  • 13Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 382Passes328
  • 255Accurate passes210

Line-ups

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 20Sam William John WallerG
  2. 13O. Adebayo-RowlingD
  3. 44A. FlintD
  4. 3Kaiden WilsonD
  5. 2C. TaskerD
  6. 8H. GilmourM
  7. 17B. AdeekoM
  8. 7C. HayesM
  9. 14E. FrancisM
  10. 45G. MiddletonM
  11. 39D. BrownF

Substitutes

  1. 11Z. Silcott-DuberryF
  2. 33S. BeckwithD
  3. 19L. HannantM
  4. 40I. HendersonF
  5. 26S. SherringD
  6. 12J. SpavenG
  7. 21Kane TaylorM

Coach: Ian Watson

Grimsby

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 31C. PymG
  2. 5H. RodgersD
  3. 2M. KacurriD
  4. 12J. FoulkesD
  5. 15G. TuriM
  6. 14J. AmaluzorM
  7. 4K. GreenM
  8. 7J. WalkerM
  9. 30C. VernamM
  10. 39A. CookF
  11. 9Iwan MorganF

Substitutes

  1. 1H. CartwrightG
  2. 8Cian DoyleM
  3. 10S. FinchF
  4. 11Ryley ReynoldsM
  5. 50Malaki Jahiem Golding
  6. 28F. CartwrightM
  7. 23H. BrownM

Coach: D. Artell

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.48
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RochdaleGrimsby
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
40%Defence60%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
44%Overall56%

Last matches

Newest first
Rochdale0W 0D 1L · last 1
LCrewe vs Rochdale17 Oct 2026 · League Two3-2
Grimsby0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGrimsby vs Northampton17 Oct 2026 · League Two0-2

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1310
2C. McCannCheltenham139
3A. PressleyWalsall129
4A. DrinanSwindon Town148
5P. MullinRotherham148

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRochdaleGrimsby
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)32
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Rochdale host Grimsby in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Spotland Stadium, Rochdale, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Grimsby slight favourites, giving Rochdale a 32% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 41% for Grimsby. Our tip is: Grimsby or draw.

Rochdale have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Grimsby have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Spotland Stadium, Rochdale

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rochdale vs Grimsby?

Rochdale vs Grimsby kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rochdale vs Grimsby in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Rochdale and Grimsby in the table?

Rochdale are 19th and Grimsby are 6th in the League Two.

Who will win Rochdale vs Grimsby?

Our prediction is Grimsby or draw. Win probabilities: Rochdale 32%, draw 27%, Grimsby 41%.

Will both teams score in Rochdale vs Grimsby?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rochdale vs Grimsby?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Tue 20 Oct

FTYork 1-1 Accrington ST1 ✗FTCheltenham 4-2 Fleetwood TownX2 ✗FTBarnet 1-3 Swindon Town1 ✗FTExeter City 2-0 CreweUnder 3.5 ✓FTWalsall 3-0 Oldham12 ✓FTRotherham 2-2 Newport County12 ✗FTChesterfield 1-1 Colchester1 ✗FTCrawley Town 2-3 ShrewsburyX2 ✓FTBristol Rovers 1-2 Salford CityOver 1.5 ✓FTNorthampton 0-1 TranmereUnder 3.5 ✓FTGillingham 1-1 Port ValeUnder 3.5 ✓

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