League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Crewe- Penalty goal: Anthony Scully (pen)21'
- Substitution: Jake Doyle HayesOff: Reece Cole45'
- 45'Substitution: Reece HutchinsonOff: Kyle Ure
- 45'Substitution: Joe WhiteOff: Charlie McNeill
HT 1-0
- 57'Yellow card: Charlie McNeillFoul
- Substitution: Taylor PerryOff: Harry Kite58'
- 60'Yellow card: Lee BellDissent
- Substitution: Anthony ScullyOff: Josh Gordon66'
- 79'Substitution: Jordan GibsonOff: Adrien thibaut
- Substitution: Ethan SutherlandOff: George Birch79'
- Substitution: Sonny CoxOff: Vincent Harper79'
- Yellow card: Jack FitzwaterFoul81'
- Yellow card: Matthew James TaylorDissent85'
- 86'Substitution: Owen luntOff: Calum·Agius
- Goal: Reece Cole90+4'
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 46%Possession54%
- 1.25Expected goals (xG)0.70
- 15Total shots16
- 5Shots on target4
- 6Shots off target7
- 4Blocked shots5
- 6Shots inside the box8
- 3Corners6
- 2Offsides2
- 11Fouls13
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves3
- 369Passes417
- 278Accurate passes327
Line-ups
Exeter City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. BycroftG
- 2L. SamuelD
- 6J. TaylorD
- 5J. FitzwaterD
- 3L. WoodhouseD
- 31J. Doyle-HayesM
- 16C. CumminsM
- 20George BirchM
- 8T. PerryM
- 25A. ScullyM
- 19S. CoxF
Substitutes
- 23Ethan SutherlandD
- 12R. ColeM
- 10J. GordonF
- 24V. HarperD
- 40E. JamesD
- 14H. KiteM
- 22Frankie PhillipsG
Coach: M. Taylor
Crewe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. BoothG
- 2L. BillingtonD
- 6L. OffordD
- 12J. StephensonD
- 4Kyle UreD
- 19O. LuntM
- 10J. WhiteM
- 11J. TabinerM
- 17M. HolíčekM
- 14J. GibsonM
- 9J. MarchF
Substitutes
- 3R. HutchinsonD
- 30Stan DanceyD
- 20Calum AgiusF
- 13I. LawlorG
- 23C. McNeillF
- 32L. MooreM
- 29A. ThibautF
Coach: Lee Bell
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.13Half time / full time result. 1 = Exeter City, X = draw, 2 = Crewe.
Asian handicap applied to Exeter City.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstExeter City0W 1D 0L · last 1Crewe1W 0D 0L · last 1League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Exeter City | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Exeter City host Crewe in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at St James Park, Exeter, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Exeter City narrow favourites, giving Exeter City a 37% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 33% for Crewe. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
Exeter City have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Crewe have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- St James Park, Exeter
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Exeter City vs Crewe?
Exeter City vs Crewe kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Exeter City vs Crewe in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Exeter City and Crewe in the table?
Exeter City are 12th and Crewe are 4th in the League Two.
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Exeter City 37%, draw 30%, Crewe 33%.
Will both teams score in Exeter City vs Crewe?
We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Exeter City vs Crewe?
We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.