League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Salford City- 6'Goal: Brendan Sarpeng-WireduAssist: Kallum Cesay
- 20'Goal: Daniel UdohAssist: Luke Molyneux
- 29'Yellow card: Elliot BondsNot Retreating
- Yellow card: Kofi BalmerDissent37'
- Yellow card: Ciaran KellyFoul38'
- Yellow card: Shaqai FordeFoul41'
- 45+1'Yellow card: Ryan GraydonDissent
HT 0-2
- 48'Yellow card: Luke GarbuttFoul
- Missed penalty: Ellis Harrison54'
- Goal: Jack Sparkes57'
- 67'Substitution: Elliot BondsOff: Matt·Butcher
- 67'Substitution: Daniel UdohOff: Macaulay Langstaff
- 67'Substitution: Luke GarbuttOff: Will Aimson
- 67'Substitution: Ryan GraydonOff: Jorge Grant
- Substitution: Fabrizio CavegnOff: Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny69'
- Substitution: Jack SparkesOff: Arvin Appiah81'
- Substitution: Ellis HarrisonOff: Joe Quigley81'
- Substitution: Shaqai FordeOff: Bobby Kamwa81'
- 83'Substitution: Luke MolyneuxOff: Nathan Asiimwe
- Yellow card: Keenan GoughFoul90+3'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 49%Possession51%
- 1.69Expected goals (xG)0.67
- 14Total shots11
- 6Shots on target5
- 6Shots off target3
- 2Blocked shots3
- 8Shots inside the box7
- 7Corners3
- 2Offsides1
- 15Fouls14
- 4Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves5
- 347Passes373
- 220Accurate passes245
Line-ups
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1Brad YoungG
- 2T. JamesD
- 5A. KilgourD
- 17C. KellyD
- 4K. BalmerM
- 22Keenan GoughM
- 6C. MolaM
- 3J. SparkesM
- 7S. FordeM
- 29F. CavegnF
- 19E. HarrisonF
Substitutes
- 28A. AppiahF
- 10B. KamwaF
- 14B. PurringtonD
- 9J. QuigleyF
- 8R. Russell-DennyM
- 21R. SmallwoodM
- 32Charlie BinnsG
Coach: S. Evans
Salford City
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1W. NorrisG
- 22A. OluwoD
- 17D. ScarrD
- 24T. AllenD
- 43L. MolyneuxM
- 21K. CesayM
- 16E. BondsM
- 44B. Sarpong-WireduM
- 29L. GarbuttM
- 19R. GraydonF
- 23D. UdohF
Substitutes
- 14A. OdohF
- 9M. LangstaffF
- 8J. GrantM
- 18M. ButcherM
- 26L. BurgeG
- 2N. AsiimweD
- 4W. AimsonD
Coach: P. Cklamovski
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.43Half time / full time result. 1 = Bristol Rovers, X = draw, 2 = Salford City.
Asian handicap applied to Bristol Rovers.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLeague Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Bristol Rovers | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Bristol Rovers host Salford City in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Memorial Stadium, Bristol, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Bristol Rovers narrow favourites, giving Bristol Rovers a 37% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 37% for Salford City. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Bristol Rovers have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Salford City have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium, Bristol
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
Bristol Rovers vs Salford City kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Bristol Rovers vs Salford City in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Bristol Rovers and Salford City in the table?
Bristol Rovers are 17th and Salford City are 1st in the League Two.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Bristol Rovers 37%, draw 26%, Salford City 37%.
Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.