League Two · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Gillingham- Yellow card: Devon matthewsFoul6'
- Goal: Stefan Mols11'
- Yellow card: Donald LoveFoul19'
- 21'Yellow card: Harry WaldockFoul
- Goal: Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols28'
- 31'Own goal: Devon matthews (og)
- 33'Yellow card: Armani LittleFoul
HT 2-1
- 54'Substitution: Logan DobbsOff: Jack Daley
- 55'Substitution: Harry WaldockOff: Ethan·Coleman
- 55'Substitution: Armani LittleOff: Tom Eaves
- Goal: Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols66'
- 70'Substitution: Andy SmithOff: Garath McCleary
- 70'Substitution: Lamin SillahOff: Bradley Dack
- Substitution: Charlie WarrenOff: Conor Grant76'
- 79'Yellow card: Ronan Chapman Hale
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 56%Possession44%
- 1.46Expected goals (xG)0.54
- 21Total shots6
- 7Shots on target0
- 10Shots off target4
- 4Blocked shots2
- 12Shots inside the box6
- 11Corners1
- 1Offsides0
- 8Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves4
- 346Passes309
- 233Accurate passes192
Line-ups
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1L. MouldenG
- 2D. LoveD
- 17D. MatthewsD
- 22J. AndersonD
- 38C. O'BrienM
- 16Aidan BorlandM
- 14Stefan MolsM
- 33D. TutondaM
- 39J. WoodsM
- 23T. WaltonF
- 30C. WarrenF
Substitutes
- 8C. GrantM
- 4T. MooreD
- 21J. RogersonG
- 3Oliver SmithD
- 25J. SmithD
- 20C. BrownF
Coach: J. Doolan
Gillingham
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1O. WrightG
- 5A. SmithD
- 19O. BecklesD
- 26L. DobbsD
- 22N. FreemanM
- 14R. McKenzieM
- 8A. LittleM
- 16J. BrophyM
- 24H. WaldockF
- 11L. SillahF
- 10Ronan HaleF
Substitutes
- 6E. ColemanM
- 23B. DackM
- 20J. DaleyD
- 39T. EavesF
- 18S. KendallM
- 40R. LuthraG
- 12G. McClearyM
Coach: G. Ainsworth
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.23Half time / full time result. 1 = Accrington ST, X = draw, 2 = Gillingham.
Asian handicap applied to Accrington ST.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstAccrington ST0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Gillingham0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Accrington ST | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Accrington ST host Gillingham in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at The Wham Stadium, Accrington, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Accrington ST slight favourites, giving Accrington ST a 41% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 32% for Gillingham. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- The Wham Stadium, Accrington
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Accrington ST vs Gillingham kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Accrington ST vs Gillingham in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Accrington ST and Gillingham in the table?
Accrington ST are 9th and Gillingham are 8th in the League Two.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Accrington ST 41%, draw 27%, Gillingham 32%.
Will both teams score in Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.