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Chesterfield vs Colchester prediction

Chesterfield vs Colchester prediction for the League Two on 20 Oct 2026: Chesterfield to win (59%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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ChesterfieldColchester
1 - 1Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 1-0
SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield

Match events

ChesterfieldColchester
  1. Goal: Dilan MarkandayAssist: Ryan Stirk29'
  2. Yellow card: Lewis GordonFoul34'
  3. 36'Yellow card: Bradley ihionveinFoul
  4. 41'Yellow card: Danny CowleyDissent

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Alfie PondFoul54'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Robert Donald HuntFoul
  3. Substitution: Dilan MarkandayOff: Dylan Duffy68'
  4. Substitution: Louie MarshOff: Tom Naylor68'
  5. Substitution: Josh KoromaOff: Liam Mandeville69'
  6. Substitution: George McEachranOff: Kiano Dyer69'
  7. 75'Substitution: Oscar thornOff: Jaden Williams
  8. 75'Substitution: Kane Vincent-YoungOff: Samuel Kuffour Jr.
  9. 76'Substitution: Robert Donald HuntOff: Ben perry
  10. Yellow card: Ryan StirkFoul79'
  11. 80'Substitution: Paul DigbyOff: Kien Connelly
  12. 82'Goal: Ben perryAssist: Oscar thorn
  13. Substitution: Lee BonisOff: F. Bryden84'
  14. 88'Substitution: Bradley ihionveinOff: Leon Chiwome

Our verdict

1 ✗

Chesterfield to win

Bet365 1.57

59%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Chesterfield59%
Fair odds 1.69
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Colchester19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.16Expected goals (xG)0.72
  • 18Total shots6
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 9Blocked shots1
  • 14Shots inside the box5
  • 7Corners2
  • 3Offsides3
  • 9Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves1
  • 569Passes357
  • 487Accurate passes281

Line-ups

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 23R. BootG
  2. 33R. HuttonD
  3. 15A. PondD
  4. 6J. SimpsonD
  5. 19L. GordonD
  6. 20G. McEachranM
  7. 8R. StirkM
  8. 24D. MarkandayM
  9. 18L. MarshM
  10. 37J. KoromaM
  11. 10L. BonisF

Substitutes

  1. 7L. MandevilleM
  2. 26J. EcclestonD
  3. 27K. DyerM
  4. 11D. DuffyM
  5. 9F. BrydenF
  6. 4T. NaylorM
  7. 46T. PearceD

Coach: P. Cook

Colchester

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22T. Lo-TutalaG
  2. 30K. Vincent-YoungD
  3. 5J. TuckerD
  4. 24F. TerryD
  5. 3E. IandoloD
  6. 26J. WilliamsM
  7. 2R. HuntM
  8. 12M. SesayM
  9. 6P. DigbyM
  10. 17Jaden WilliamsM
  11. 9B. IhionvienF

Substitutes

  1. 11L. ChiwomeF
  2. 39K. ConnellyF
  3. 47R. HarveyM
  4. 44S. KuffourD
  5. 4Ben PerryM
  6. 20S. RaggettD
  7. 27O. ThornF

Coach: D. Cowley

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.99 – 1.04
0.5 goalsOver95.2%Under4.8%
1.5 goalsOver80.5%Under19.5%
2.5 goalsOver58.3%Under41.7%
3.5 goalsOver35.9%Under64.1%
4.5 goalsOver19.0%Under81.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ChesterfieldColchester
0%Form100%
50%Attack50%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
76%Overall24%

Last matches

Newest first

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City13+928
2Barnet12+1025
3Cheltenham13021
4Crewe13021
5York13+620
6Walsall12+719
7Chesterfield14+319
8Exeter City13+319
9Accrington ST13+618
10Newport County14+318
11Shrewsbury13-418
12Grimsby13+317
13Gillingham13017
14Tranmere13016
15Swindon Town13-316
16Bristol Rovers13-416
17Rochdale13-715
18Fleetwood Town13-214
19Northampton11013
20Oldham12-412
21Colchester12-512
22Rotherham13-612
23Port Vale11-612
24Crawley Town11-96
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1210
2A. DrinanSwindon Town138
3C. McCannCheltenham128
4A. PressleyWalsall118
5P. MullinRotherham138

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatChesterfieldColchester
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets01
Failed to score11
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/10/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Chesterfield host Colchester in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Chesterfield favourites, giving Chesterfield a 59% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 19% for Colchester. Our tip is: Chesterfield to win.

Chesterfield have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Colchester have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Chesterfield vs Colchester kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Chesterfield vs Colchester in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Chesterfield and Colchester in the table?

Chesterfield are 7th and Colchester are 21st in the League Two.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Our prediction is Chesterfield to win. Win probabilities: Chesterfield 59%, draw 22%, Colchester 19%.

Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Colchester?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chesterfield vs Colchester?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Tue 20 Oct

FTYork 1-1 Accrington ST1 ✗FTCheltenham 4-2 Fleetwood TownX2 ✗FTBarnet 1-3 Swindon Town1 ✗FTExeter City 2-0 CreweUnder 3.5 ✓FTRochdale 2-2 GrimsbyX2 ✓FTWalsall 3-0 Oldham12 ✓FTRotherham 2-2 Newport County12 ✗FTCrawley Town 2-3 ShrewsburyX2 ✓FTBristol Rovers 1-2 Salford CityOver 1.5 ✓FTNorthampton 0-1 TranmereUnder 3.5 ✓FTGillingham 1-1 Port ValeUnder 3.5 ✓

All football predictions for today