League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Tranmere- 37'Goal: B. FaulknerAssist: Will Vaulks
- 42'Yellow card: Ryan WatsonFoul
HT 0-1
- Substitution: josh powellOff: James Maxwell70'
- Substitution: M. WarhurstOff: Nathaniel Opoku70'
- Substitution: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Elliott List70'
- Substitution: Janoi DonacienOff: Sam Hoskins76'
- 90+1'Yellow card: Lee O'ConnorFoul
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.30
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 64%Possession36%
- 1.28Expected goals (xG)0.68
- 21Total shots8
- 4Shots on target1
- 6Shots off target3
- 11Blocked shots4
- 11Shots inside the box7
- 9Corners6
- 12Fouls9
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves4
- 481Passes279
- 398Accurate passes200
Line-ups
Northampton
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Z. JeacockG
- 44J. DonacienD
- 6E. MooreD
- 5J. GuthrieD
- 22Joshua Alan PowellD
- 16J. WormleightonM
- 24C. Lemonheigh-EvansM
- 8L. EvansM
- 4J. O'Brien-WhitmarshM
- 19O. DaleF
- 9Matthew WarhurstF
Substitutes
- 35M. DycheD
- 14T. FornahM
- 7S. HoskinsF
- 10E. ListF
- 3J. MaxwellD
- 31J. DadgeG
- 17N. OpokuF
Coach: C. Hogg
Tranmere
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. McGeeG
- 22L. O'ConnorD
- 16B. FaulknerD
- 30G. NevettD
- 3J. SlaterD
- 6W. VaulksM
- 44R. WatsonM
- 29D. JonesM
- 10T. InceM
- 7Charlie Jay WhitakerM
- 9J. IronsideF
Substitutes
- 4J. TurnbullD
- 20Charlie VeeversM
- 24David KamaraF
- 5N. SmithD
- 13C. Boyce-ClarkeG
- 14O. ScottD
- 11T. ConlonM
Coach: D. Clarke
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.09Half time / full time result. 1 = Northampton, X = draw, 2 = Tranmere.
Asian handicap applied to Northampton.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNorthampton1W 0D 0L · last 1Tranmere0W 0D 1L · last 1League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Northampton | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Northampton host Tranmere in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Northampton slight favourites, giving Northampton a 42% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 29% for Tranmere. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
Northampton have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Tranmere have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Northampton vs Tranmere?
Northampton vs Tranmere kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Northampton vs Tranmere in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Northampton and Tranmere in the table?
Northampton are 20th and Tranmere are 11th in the League Two.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Northampton 42%, draw 29%, Tranmere 29%.
Will both teams score in Northampton vs Tranmere?
We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Northampton vs Tranmere?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.