League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Newport County- Penalty goal: Paul Mullin (pen)4'
- Goal: Aaron NemaneAssist: Jayce Fitzgerald12'
- Yellow card: Jamie JellisFoul16'
- 28'Penalty goal: Harrison Biggins (pen)
- Yellow card: Paul MullinArgument42'
- 42'Yellow card: Gerard GarnerArgument
- 45'Substitution: Matthew SmithOff: Alfie Merritt
HT 2-1
- 54'Goal: Gerard Garner
- 60'Substitution: Gerard GarnerOff: Kion Etete
- 60'Substitution: Michael Adu-PokuOff: Yahya Bamba
- Substitution: Jili BuyabuOff: K. Lolas64'
- Substitution: Denzel HallOff: Kieran Ngwenya73'
- Substitution: kian spenceOff: Tom Bradshaw85'
- Yellow card: H. DouglasFoul89'
Our verdict
Rotherham or Newport County
Bet365 1.30
✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 1.44Expected goals (xG)1.92
- 12Total shots12
- 5Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target7
- 3Blocked shots1
- 7Shots inside the box10
- 2Corners2
- 2Offsides1
- 18Fouls16
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 391Passes248
- 285Accurate passes140
Line-ups
Rotherham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13J. EyestoneG
- 2J. RaffertyD
- 27D. IorfaD
- 26H. DouglasD
- 12D. HallM
- 8K. SpenceM
- 15Jayce FitzgeraldM
- 24J. BuyabuM
- 23A. NemaneM
- 22Jamie JellisM
- 10P. MullinF
Substitutes
- 14Sonny AljofreeD
- 4J. AusterfieldM
- 9T. BradshawF
- 1T. CannG
- 28Brandon Ashley CoverD
- 20K. LolasM
- 5K. NgwenyaD
Coach: A. Bruce
Newport County
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1J. WrightG
- 5L. JenkinsD
- 4K. CameronD
- 12Joe ThomasD
- 22C. NormanM
- 24M. Dibley-DiasM
- 6C. BrennanM
- 17Alfie MerrittM
- 23M. Adu-PokuM
- 19G. GarnerF
- 10H. BigginsF
Substitutes
- 28K. EteteF
- 2C. EvansM
- 7K. EvansM
- 33S. MacDonaldG
- 34D. SassiD
- 8M. SmithM
- 20Y. BambaF
Coach: H. Mullins
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.17Half time / full time result. 1 = Rotherham, X = draw, 2 = Newport County.
Asian handicap applied to Rotherham.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstRotherham0W 0D 1L · last 1Newport County0W 1D 0L · last 1League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 12 | 10 |
| 2 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 13 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 11 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 13 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Rotherham | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Rotherham host Newport County in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Rotherham slight favourites, giving Rotherham a 44% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 29% for Newport County. Our tip is: Rotherham or Newport County.
Rotherham have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Newport County have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Rotherham vs Newport County?
Rotherham vs Newport County kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Rotherham vs Newport County in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Rotherham and Newport County in the table?
Rotherham are 22nd and Newport County are 14th in the League Two.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our prediction is Rotherham or Newport County. Win probabilities: Rotherham 44%, draw 27%, Newport County 29%.
Will both teams score in Rotherham vs Newport County?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rotherham vs Newport County?
We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.