League Two · Regular Season - 11
Match events
York- 4'Goal: Ollie PearceAssist: Alex Hunt
- Yellow card: M. Dibley-DiasFoul17'
- 24'Red card: jovan malcolmViolent Conduct
- Substitution: Matty JacobsOff: Matthew Smith45'
HT 0-1
- 47'Yellow card: Ollie PearceFoul
- Substitution: Kion EteteOff: M. Dibley-Dias52'
- 53'Yellow card: Joey GreyFoul
- Goal: Kion EteteAssist: Tanatswa Nyakuhwa54'
- 55'Substitution: Joseph Rabole FelixOff: Jack Hunt
- 72'Substitution: Ollie PearceOff: Frankie Maguire
- 72'Substitution: Alex HuntOff: Arthur Read
- 72'Substitution: Joey GreyOff: Alex Newby
- Substitution: Tanatswa NyakuhwaOff: Gerard Garner76'
- Substitution: Yahya BambaOff: Kieron Thomas Evans76'
- Yellow card: Harrison Biggins79'
- 82'Substitution: Ryan FallowfieldOff: Ashley Palmer
- Yellow card: Kion EteteFoul87'
- Substitution: Shaquille GwengweOff: Michael Adu-Poku89'
Our verdict
York or draw
Bet365 1.25
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 52%Possession48%
- 1.04Expected goals (xG)1.09
- 17Total shots11
- 3Shots on target1
- 11Shots off target6
- 3Blocked shots4
- 11Shots inside the box5
- 6Corners0
- 0Offsides1
- 11Fouls10
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 417Passes403
- 341Accurate passes309
Line-ups
Newport County
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. WrightG
- 22C. NormanD
- 5L. JenkinsD
- 4K. CameronD
- 16M. JacobD
- 24M. Dibley-DiasM
- 6C. BrennanM
- 21T. NyakuhwaM
- 10H. BigginsM
- 20Y. BambaM
- 9S. GwengweF
Substitutes
- 28K. EteteF
- 7K. EvansM
- 19G. GarnerF
- 23M. Adu-PokuF
- 33S. MacDonaldG
- 34D. SassiD
- 8M. SmithM
Coach: H. Mullins
York
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Alfie Shane McNallyG
- 2R. FallowfieldD
- 5Z. JohnsonD
- 3M. KitchingD
- 23J. FelixM
- 8A. HuntM
- 28O. BanksM
- 12H. BoyesM
- 7J. GreyM
- 10O. PearceM
- 18J. MalcolmF
Substitutes
- 30A. NewbyM
- 6A. PalmerD
- 16A. ReadM
- 15J. KingD
- 32J. HuntD
- 31G. Sykes-KenworthyG
- 11F. MaguireM
Coach: S. Lindsey
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.60Half time / full time result. 1 = Newport County, X = draw, 2 = York.
Asian handicap applied to Newport County.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNewport County0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
York0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Newport County | York |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Newport County host York in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Rodney Parade, Newport, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes York slight favourites, giving Newport County a 29% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 45% for York. Our tip is: York or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Rodney Parade, Newport
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Newport County vs York?
Newport County vs York kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Newport County vs York in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Newport County and York in the table?
Newport County are 14th and York are 7th in the League Two.
Who will win Newport County vs York?
Our prediction is York or draw. Win probabilities: Newport County 29%, draw 26%, York 45%.
Will both teams score in Newport County vs York?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newport County vs York?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.