League Two · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Port Vale- Penalty goal: Ronan Chapman Hale (pen)42'
- 45'Substitution: George Cardinal Joseph·HallOff: Kyle Dempsey
- 45'Substitution: Onel HernándezOff: Oliver Lynch
- 45'Substitution: Max WattersOff: Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales
HT 1-0
- 56'Yellow card: Jasper·MoonFoul
- 66'Goal: Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales
- 66'Substitution: Kyle JohnOff: Jaheim·Headley
- Substitution: Ethan·ColemanOff: Harry Waldock70'
- Substitution: Ronan Chapman HaleOff: Garath McCleary74'
- Yellow card: Conor McManusFoul79'
- Substitution: Tom EavesOff: S. Kendall84'
- Substitution: Michael LuxtonOff: Conor McManus84'
- Yellow card: Jack DaleyFoul85'
- 90'Substitution: Ben GarrityOff: Rhys Walters
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 41%Possession59%
- 1.70Expected goals (xG)0.88
- 9Total shots11
- 3Shots on target3
- 2Shots off target4
- 4Blocked shots4
- 7Shots inside the box5
- 9Corners4
- 3Offsides3
- 12Fouls11
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves2
- 289Passes431
- 186Accurate passes322
Line-ups
Gillingham
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1O. WrightG
- 5A. SmithD
- 19O. BecklesD
- 20J. DaleyD
- 16J. BrophyM
- 6E. ColemanM
- 8A. LittleM
- 3Conor McManusM
- 22N. FreemanF
- 10Ronan HaleF
- 39T. EavesF
Substitutes
- 30S. BoothF
- 40R. LuthraG
- 12G. McClearyM
- 24H. WaldockM
- 26L. DobbsD
- 18S. KendallM
- 27M. LuxtonM
Coach: G. Ainsworth
Port Vale
3-5-2Starting XI
- 20M. MarošiG
- 25C. HumphreysD
- 4J. MoonD
- 5C. HallD
- 6J. Lawrence-GabrielM
- 8B. GarrityM
- 7G. ByersM
- 33G. HallM
- 2K. JohnM
- 36M. WattersF
- 11O. HernándezF
Substitutes
- 10K. DempseyM
- 3J. HeadleyD
- 22L. MontsmaD
- 1J. SmithG
- 38R. WaltersM
- 14O. LynchF
- 24K. FigueroaF
Coach: J. Brady
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.20Half time / full time result. 1 = Gillingham, X = draw, 2 = Port Vale.
Asian handicap applied to Gillingham.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstGillingham0W 0D 1L · last 1Port Vale1W 0D 0L · last 1League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 20 | LWDDD |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 12 | 10 |
| 2 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 13 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 11 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 13 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Gillingham | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Gillingham host Port Vale in the League Two (Regular Season - 12) at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Gillingham narrow favourites, giving Gillingham a 37% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 34% for Port Vale. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
Gillingham have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Port Vale have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Gillingham vs Port Vale kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Gillingham vs Port Vale in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Gillingham and Port Vale in the table?
Gillingham are 13th and Port Vale are 23rd in the League Two.
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Gillingham 37%, draw 29%, Port Vale 34%.
Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.